Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
America Mineiro
vs
Juventude
0 – 1 Full time
| 29′ | Bruno BrigidoGustavo | ||
| 45′ | Tobias OstchegaLuidy Montes Carneiro | ||
| 56′ | Otavio Goncalves | ||
| 57′ | Diogo Barbosa | ||
| 57′ | Alan KardecLuis Amarilla | ||
| 57′ | MandacaMarcos Paulo | ||
| 58′ | Gabriel Pires | ||
| 58′ | Lucas MineiroGabriel Pires | ||
| 61′ | Marcos Paulo | ||
| 62′ | Julio César Leme Do NascimentoKaique Zizero Moreira Dorna | ||
| 62′ | Otavio GoncalvesFelipe | ||
| 69′ | Messias Rodrigues da Silva JúniorGabriel Barbosa Pinheiro | ||
| 69′ | Diogo BarbosaPatryck | ||
| 76′ | Matías SegoviaMarcelo Enrique Maçola Filho | ||
| 77′ | Fabio limaManuel Castro | ||
| 82′ | BarretoHeitor Manuel Barcelos Lima |
America Mineiro
23%
Draw
29%
Juventude
48%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 324 | Accurate passes | 495 |
America Mineiro vs Juventude overview
Garuda Lions analysis: America Mineiro vs Juventude
| Probability | America Mineiro | Draw | Juventude |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.0% | 32.9% | 42.1% |
| Market | 22.3% | 28.1% | 49.6% |
| Final | 23.0% | 29.3% | 47.7% |
| Edge | +2.7% | +4.8% | -7.5% |
Why Juventude
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.84.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
America Mineiro and Juventude expected goals
America Mineiro
0.84
Juventude
1.17
Total expected goals: 2.00
America Mineiro and Juventude attack and defence ratings
America Mineiro
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Juventude
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
America Mineiro vs Juventude: result vs prediction
America Mineiro 0 – 1 Juventude
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
America Mineiro vs Juventude markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventude | 47.7% | 2.10 | -7.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America Mineiro | 23.0% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Juventude | 47.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventude win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 14.5% | |
| 0-1 | 14.4% |
America Mineiro vs Juventude stats
America Mineiro and Juventude recent form
| America Mineiro |
LLWLWL |
| Juventude |
LLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
America Mineiro and Juventude going into this match
America Mineiro record
- They have won 4 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 29 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Juventude record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 19 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
America Mineiro vs Juventude head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5America Mineiro wins
3Draws
2Juventude wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Juventude | America Mineiro | Brazil Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-06 | Juventude | America Mineiro | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2022-04-16 | America Mineiro | Juventude | Serie A | 4-1 |
| 2021-10-10 | Juventude | America Mineiro | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2021-06-24 | America Mineiro | Juventude | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2020-11-25 | America Mineiro | Juventude | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-17 | Juventude | America Mineiro | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2019-03-01 | Juventude | America Mineiro | Copa Do Brasil | 2-1 |
| 2017-11-14 | America Mineiro | Juventude | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2017-07-28 | Juventude | America Mineiro | Serie B | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
America Mineiro vs Juventude odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.3%, draw 28.1%, away 49.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.16 | 3.30 | 1.87 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 3.50 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 4.44 | 3.43 | 1.91 |
| SBO | 3.69 | 3.06 | 1.88 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.15 ▲ +0.95
X
3.30 ▲ +0.20
2
1.87 ▼ -0.40
14 snapshots recorded, from .