Fortaleza EC
vs
Athletic Club
2 – 2 Full time
| 42′ | Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes | ||
| 45′ | Maílton | ||
| 50′ | Lucas Sasha | ||
| 58′ | Dixon VeraWilinton Aponza Carabali | ||
| 58′ | Joao Victor Broad Moreira GuimaraesPedro Henrique de Oliveira | ||
| 58′ | Marcelo Henrique Laborão dos SantosEnzo Henrique dos Santos | ||
| 60′ | Enzo Henrique dos Santos | ||
| 69′ | Jhan Pool Torres CañeteFelipe Vieira da Silva | ||
| 69′ | Pedro HenriqueJuan Camilo Cantillo | ||
| 83′ | Felipe Negrucci BerdagueYago Santos de Andrade | ||
| 85′ | Rodrigo Henrique Santos De SouzaNathan Fogaça | ||
| 85′ | Vitor FerreiraLucca Prior Pimenta | ||
| 90′ | Lucas SashaRodrigo Oliveira dos Santos |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 548 | Accurate passes | 217 |
Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Fortaleza EC | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 29.8% | 21.9% |
| Market | 59.0% | 25.2% | 15.8% |
| Final | 56.3% | 26.3% | 17.4% |
| Edge | -10.7% | +4.6% | +6.1% |
Why Fortaleza EC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortaleza EC and Athletic Club expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Fortaleza EC and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club: result vs prediction
Fortaleza EC 2 – 2 Athletic Club
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza EC | 56.3% | 1.78 | -10.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza EC | 56.3% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Athletic Club | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortaleza EC win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club stats
Fortaleza EC and Athletic Club recent form
| Fortaleza EC |
WDWWDW |
| Athletic Club |
DWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortaleza EC and Athletic Club going into this match
Fortaleza EC record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Athletic Club record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Athletic Club | Fortaleza EC | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.0%, draw 25.2%, away 15.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.68 | 5.85 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.85 | 6.60 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 3.68 | 5.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.91 | 6.36 |
| SBO | 1.54 | 3.50 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .