Operario-PR
vs
Ceara
2 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | Gabriel Boschilia | ||
| 42′ | Emaxwell Souza de LimaAylon | ||
| 45′ | Julio Cesar Alves Goncalves | ||
| 45′ | Enzo Valentim LodovicoMatheus Araujo | ||
| 60′ | Caio Dantas | ||
| 61′ | Rian Bonfim De SantanaVinícius | ||
| 64′ | Gabriel BoschiliaParaiba | ||
| 65′ | Caio DantasOnitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues | ||
| 69′ | Matheus Araujo | ||
| 77′ | Vinícius | ||
| 81′ | Hildeberto PereiraVinicius Alessandro Mingotti | ||
| 82′ | Matheus TrindadeÍndio | ||
| 86′ | Sanchez Costa | ||
| 89′ | Bryan Borges Mascarenhas | ||
| 90′ | Melquisedeque Costa De OliveiraLucas Mugni | ||
| 90′ | Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues | ||
| 90′ | João Gabriel Santos BatistaGiovanni Pavani | ||
| 90′ | Bryan Borges MascarenhasÉder |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 352 | Accurate passes | 309 |
Operario-PR vs Ceara overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Operario-PR vs Ceara
| Probability | Operario-PR | Draw | Ceara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.4% | 22.8% | 17.8% |
| Market | 44.2% | 29.2% | 26.5% |
| Final | 48.0% | 27.6% | 24.4% |
| Edge | +15.1% | -6.4% | -8.7% |
Why Operario-PR
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.06.
- The market prices Operario-PR below the model: +15.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Operario-PR and Ceara expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Operario-PR and Ceara attack and defence ratings
Operario-PR
Ceara
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Operario-PR vs Ceara: result vs prediction
Operario-PR 2 – 2 Ceara
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Operario-PR vs Ceara markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 48.0% | 2.08 | +15.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 48.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Ceara | 24.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Operario-PR win | 36.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Operario-PR vs Ceara stats
Operario-PR and Ceara recent form
| Operario-PR |
WDWWDD |
| Ceara |
WDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Operario-PR and Ceara going into this match
Operario-PR record
- They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ceara record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Operario-PR vs Ceara head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Ceara | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-08 | Ceara | Operario-PR | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Operario-PR | Ceara | Serie B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Operario-PR vs Ceara odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 29.2%, away 26.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.18 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.13 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.15 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.18 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.32 | 3.70 |
| SBO | 2.11 | 2.97 | 3.12 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .