Brazil Serie B · 2026-09-22T22:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 29

Criciuma vs Operario-PR

0 – 2 Full time

36′			Joseph
38′			Caio Dantas
45′			Waguininho
45′			Jose Abad Cuenu Rodriguez
45′			Rodrigo FagundesCaue
45′			Mikael DokaMiranda
65′			Nicolas Godinho JohannYuri Jonathan
65′			WaguininhoJoão Carlos Barros Lopes
70′			Jhonata Robert Alves da SilvaRómulo Otero
72′			Vinícius Diniz Dall AntoniaÍndio
72′			Hildeberto PereiraEmaxwell Souza de Lima
80′			Marcelo Hermes
80′			Ángel TorresAylon
82′			Fellipe MateusGuilherme Teixeira Lobo
85′			Yuri Jonathan
89′			Gabriel Feliciano da SilvaJuan Zuluaga
90′			Emaxwell Souza de Lima

Estadio Heriberto Hülse, ChrissyumaReferee: Lucas Guimaraes Rechatiko Horn

Criciuma

43%

Draw

30%

Operario-PR

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

26	Shots	5
4	Shots on target	2
67	Possession %	33
17	Corners	2
17	Fouls	13
3	Offsides	0
0	Saves	5
416	Accurate passes	170

Criciuma vs Operario-PR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Criciuma vs Operario-PR

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Criciuma	Draw	Operario-PR
Model	27.8%	28.7%	43.5%
Market	47.8%	30.0%	22.2%
Final	42.8%	29.7%	27.5%
Edge	-20.0%	-1.4%	+21.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

74%

3+ goals

47%

No goals

Criciuma and Operario-PR expected goals

Criciuma

1.11

Operario-PR

1.45

Total expected goals: 2.56

Criciuma and Operario-PR attack and defence ratings

Criciuma

Attack

0.74 -26%

Defence

1.12 +12%

Operario-PR

Attack

1.35 +35%

Defence

1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Criciuma vs Operario-PR: result vs prediction

Criciuma 0 – 2 Operario-PR

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Vila Nova vs America Mineiro · 2026-09-18
Ceara v Novorizontino — match page · 2026-09-18
São Bernardo vs Atletico Goianiense — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Sport Recife vs Juventude · 2026-09-19
Athletic Club v Botafogo SP — match page · 2026-09-19
Ponte Preta vs CRB — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Goias vs Avai · 2026-09-20
Londrina v Fortaleza EC — match page · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Criciuma, previous: Atletico Goianiense – Criciuma, 2026-09-13
Criciuma, next: Criciuma v Avai analysis
Operario-PR, previous: Nautico Recife – Operario-PR, 2026-09-15
Operario-PR, next: Operario-PR vs Ceara: odds and pick

Criciuma vs Operario-PR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Criciuma	42.8%	2.34	-20.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	52.9%	1.89	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	52.6%	1.90	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.5%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	72.2%	1.39	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Criciuma	42.8%
	Draw	29.7%
	Operario-PR	27.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	47.1%
	Under 2.5	52.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	52.6%
	No	47.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.5%
	12 (either side)	70.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	57.2%
Handicap -1	Criciuma win	11.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.4%
	Loss	72.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.7%
	0-1	9.9%
	1-2	9.0%

Criciuma vs Operario-PR stats

Criciuma and Operario-PR recent form

newest first

Criciuma	LLWLLD
Operario-PR	DWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Criciuma and Operario-PR going into this match

league record before kick-off

Criciuma record

They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Operario-PR record

They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Criciuma vs Operario-PR head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Criciuma wins 2Draws 6Operario-PR wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-24	Operario-PR	Criciuma	Brazil Serie B	1-1
2025-08-02	Operario-PR	Criciuma	Brazil Serie B	1-0
2025-04-05	Criciuma	Operario-PR	Brazil Serie B	1-2
2022-08-17	Criciuma	Operario-PR	Serie B	2-0
2022-05-07	Operario-PR	Criciuma	Serie B	2-0
2019-11-05	Operario-PR	Criciuma	Serie B	1-0
2019-08-03	Criciuma	Operario-PR	Serie B	1-2
2016-04-28	Criciuma	Operario-PR	Copa Do Brasil	1-1
2016-04-13	Operario-PR	Criciuma	Copa Do Brasil	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Criciuma vs Operario-PR odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 30.0%, away 22.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.91	3.10	4.32
Bet365	1.95	3.20	4.20
BetVictor	1.87	3.13	3.90
Betano	2.02	3.25	4.45
Betfair	1.91	3.10	4.20
Marathonbet	1.89	3.10	4.30
Pinnacle	2.03	3.15	4.35
SBO	1.98	2.86	3.40
William Hill	1.95	2.90	4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▲ +0.20

X 3.10 ▼ -0.20

2 4.20 ▼ -0.55

11 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-17T08:10:02Z.