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Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 28

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma

4 – 0 Full time

19′Yuri Jonathan
36′Daniel Nascimento Peixoto dos Santos
40′Diego Gonçalves
41′Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes
45′Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes
45′Rómulo OteroMarcio Almeida de Oliveira
45′Diego GonçalvesRomarinho
45′RonaldThiago Ramon Santos Modesto
45′Yuri JonathanCaue
45′Leandro VilelaCristiano Claudinei Nogueira
50′Waguininho
52′Henrique
57′Gustavo Maia da Silva
61′Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira
62′Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes
69′Marcelo HermesHiago Accinelli da Roza
77′HenriqueYuri
77′Gustavo Maia da SilvaKlebert de Oliveira Pereira
77′Geovany SoaresMatheuzinho
81′Gustavo Coutinho Silva LopesJoão Pedro

Estádio Antônio Accioly, GoiâniaReferee: E. Batista

Atletico Goianiense 46%
Draw 31%
Criciuma 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
43 Possession % 57
3 Corners 5
17 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
4 Saves 4
294 Accurate passes 395

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtletico GoianienseDrawCriciuma
Model51.8%31.1%17.1%
Market44.1%30.6%25.3%
Final46.0%30.7%23.3%
Edge+7.7%+0.5%-8.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Atletico Goianiense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Atletico Goianiense below the model: +7.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atletico Goian ↓ / Criciuma → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 1 17% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma expected goals

Atletico Goianiense 1.32
Criciuma 0.65

Total expected goals: 1.97

Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma attack and defence ratings

Atletico Goianiense

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Criciuma

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma: result vs prediction

Atletico Goianiense 4 – 0 Criciuma

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Goianiense 46.0% 2.17 +7.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.4% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 63.7% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.2% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atletico Goianiense46.0%
Draw30.7%
Criciuma23.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.6%
Under 2.568.4%
Both teams to scoreYes36.3%
No63.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.7%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)54.0%
Handicap -1Atletico Goianiense win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)26.3%
Loss48.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.2%
0-015.1%
1-113.2%

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma stats

Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma recent form

newest first
Atletico Goianiense WDWWDL
Criciuma LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Atletico Goianiense and Criciuma going into this match

league record before kick-off

Atletico Goianiense record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Criciuma record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Atletico Goianiense wins 2Draws 5Criciuma wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17CriciumaAtletico GoianienseBrazil Serie B1-1
2025-11-09CriciumaAtletico GoianienseBrazil Serie B1-0
2025-07-18Atletico GoianienseCriciumaBrazil Serie B0-1
2024-10-03CriciumaAtletico GoianienseSerie A2-0
2024-06-19Atletico GoianienseCriciumaSerie A1-2
2023-09-23Atletico GoianienseCriciumaSerie B3-1
2023-06-03CriciumaAtletico GoianienseSerie B3-0
2019-09-20CriciumaAtletico GoianienseSerie B0-1
2019-05-17Atletico GoianienseCriciumaSerie B3-1
2018-08-11CriciumaAtletico GoianienseSerie B1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atletico Goianiense vs Criciuma odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 30.8%, away 25.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 3.04 3.70
888Sport 2.20 2.80 3.60
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.50
BetVictor 2.05 3.00 3.40
Betano 2.15 3.10 3.70
Betfair 2.05 3.10 3.70
Dafabet 2.26 3.00 3.70
Marathonbet 2.09 3.04 3.68
Pinnacle 2.16 3.12 3.92
SBO 2.01 2.82 3.35
Unibet 2.32 3.05 3.15
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.11 ▼ -0.10
X 3.04 ▲ +0.12
2 3.68 ▲ +0.08

8 snapshots recorded, from .