America Mineiro
vs
São Bernardo
0 – 2 Full time
| 53′ | Barreto | ||
| 54′ | Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva | ||
| 60′ | Julio César Leme Do NascimentoMatías Segovia | ||
| 60′ | Otavio GoncalvesJorge Jiménez | ||
| 67′ | Helder Maciel | ||
| 69′ | Felipe GarciaPedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva | ||
| 69′ | RomissonFabrício Daniel | ||
| 76′ | Guilherme ParedeRodrigo Pineiro | ||
| 76′ | Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesDaniel Davi Simão Roque | ||
| 77′ | Eduardo·da Silva AlbuquerqueFoguinho | ||
| 80′ | Fabrício Daniel | ||
| 81′ | BarretoFernando Elizari | ||
| 81′ | WillianMarcelo Enrique Maçola Filho | ||
| 82′ | Helder MacielLuiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva | ||
| 85′ | Jorge Jiménez | ||
| 88′ | Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva | ||
| 90′ | Fabrício Daniel |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 413 | Accurate passes | 254 |
America Mineiro vs São Bernardo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: America Mineiro vs São Bernardo
| Probability | America Mineiro | Draw | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.6% | 27.7% | 35.7% |
| Market | 37.5% | 29.9% | 32.6% |
| Final | 37.3% | 29.3% | 33.4% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -2.2% | +3.1% |
Why America Mineiro
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
America Mineiro and São Bernardo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
America Mineiro and São Bernardo attack and defence ratings
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
America Mineiro vs São Bernardo: result vs prediction
America Mineiro 0 – 2 São Bernardo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
America Mineiro vs São Bernardo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America Mineiro | 37.3% | 2.68 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America Mineiro | 37.3% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| São Bernardo | 33.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | America Mineiro win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 63.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
America Mineiro vs São Bernardo stats
America Mineiro and São Bernardo recent form
| America Mineiro |
WLWLLL |
| São Bernardo |
LWLDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
America Mineiro and São Bernardo going into this match
America Mineiro record
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
São Bernardo record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
America Mineiro vs São Bernardo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | São Bernardo | America Mineiro | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
America Mineiro vs São Bernardo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.5%, draw 29.9%, away 32.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.10 | 2.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.47 | 3.10 | 2.84 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61 | 3.16 | 2.95 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 3.02 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .