Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Nautico Recife
vs
Operario-PR
3 – 3 Full time
| 1′ | Vinicius | ||
| 28′ | Gabriel Boschilia | ||
| 45′ | Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes RodriguesGabriel Feliciano da Silva | ||
| 45′ | Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia | ||
| 57′ | Samuel | ||
| 67′ | Kauan Almeida da CostaLuiz Cláudio | ||
| 67′ | Benjamín BorasiDerek Freitas Ribeiro | ||
| 74′ | Emaxwell Souza de LimaParaiba | ||
| 74′ | ÍndioJuan Zuluaga | ||
| 74′ | Caio DantasAylon | ||
| 81′ | Aylon | ||
| 83′ | Jean Carlos | ||
| 84′ | Ángel TorresHildeberto Pereira | ||
| 87′ | Jean CarlosDaniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho | ||
| 87′ | Wenderson da Silva Costa FerreiraPatricio Nunez\t | ||
| 88′ | Daniel Ferreira dos Santos Filho | ||
| 90′ | Vinícius Diniz Dall Antonia | ||
| 90′ | Igor FernandesGustavo Henrique | ||
| 90′ | Gabriel Boschilia | ||
| 90′ | Jose Abad Cuenu Rodriguez | ||
| 90′ | Hélio César Pinto dos Anjos | ||
| 90′ | Onitlasi Júnior de Moraes Rodrigues | ||
| 90′ | Patricio Nunez\t |
Nautico Recife
47%
Draw
29%
Operario-PR
24%
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 23 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 324 | Accurate passes | 322 |
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR
| Probability | Nautico Recife | Draw | Operario-PR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 30.5% | 31.3% |
| Market | 50.0% | 28.5% | 21.5% |
| Final | 47.1% | 29.0% | 24.0% |
| Edge | -11.8% | +2.0% | +9.8% |
Why Nautico Recife
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Nautico Recife and Operario-PR expected goals
Nautico Recife
1.25
Operario-PR
1.11
Total expected goals: 2.36
Nautico Recife and Operario-PR attack and defence ratings
Nautico Recife
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Operario-PR
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR: result vs prediction
Nautico Recife 3 – 3 Operario-PR
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nautico Recife | 47.1% | 2.12 | -11.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nautico Recife | 47.1% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Operario-PR | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nautico Recife win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 1-0 | 10.5% |
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR stats
Nautico Recife and Operario-PR recent form
| Nautico Recife |
LWWDWD |
| Operario-PR |
WWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nautico Recife and Operario-PR going into this match
Nautico Recife record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Operario-PR record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
4Nautico Recife wins
2Draws
2Operario-PR wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Operario-PR | Nautico Recife | Brazil Serie B | 2-6 |
| 2023-07-29 | Operario-PR | Nautico Recife | Serie C | 1-1 |
| 2022-08-05 | Operario-PR | Nautico Recife | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-24 | Nautico Recife | Operario-PR | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2021-10-02 | Operario-PR | Nautico Recife | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2021-07-02 | Nautico Recife | Operario-PR | Serie B | 5-0 |
| 2020-11-13 | Operario-PR | Nautico Recife | Serie B | 3-1 |
| 2020-08-12 | Nautico Recife | Operario-PR | Serie B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.8%, draw 28.3%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.24 | 4.35 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.25 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.39 | 4.37 |
| SBO | 1.94 | 3.04 | 3.52 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.85 ▼ -0.09
X
3.25 ▼ -0.12
2
4.30 ▲ +0.50
12 snapshots recorded, from .