Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Juventude
vs
Athletic Club
0 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva | ||
| 15′ | Carlos Moisés de LimaWilinton Aponza Carabali | ||
| 45′ | Dixon VeraKauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes | ||
| 57′ | Marcos PauloFabio lima | ||
| 57′ | SafiraAlan Kardec | ||
| 62′ | Maswel Ananias SilvaOtavio Bruno Dos Santos | ||
| 65′ | Wilinton Aponza Carabali | ||
| 70′ | Wilinton Aponza Carabali | ||
| 72′ | Luan Martins·Goncalves | ||
| 73′ | MandacaLucas Alves | ||
| 73′ | Raí da Silva PessanhaGabriel Pires | ||
| 76′ | Fabio lima | ||
| 81′ | Luan Martins·GoncalvesPablo Roberto Dos Santos Barbosa | ||
| 81′ | AderlanJuan | ||
| 87′ | Felipe Negrucci BerdagueJhan Pool Torres Cañete | ||
| 89′ | Wilinton Aponza CarabaliJoao Victor Broad Moreira Guimaraes | ||
| 90′ | João Miguel | ||
| 90′ | Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes |
Juventude
56%
Draw
28%
Athletic Club
16%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 493 | Accurate passes | 244 |
Juventude vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventude vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Juventude | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.3% | 27.6% | 15.1% |
| Market | 55.4% | 27.9% | 16.7% |
| Final | 55.9% | 27.8% | 16.3% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -0.2% | -1.6% |
Why Juventude
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.56 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Juventude and Athletic Club expected goals
Juventude
1.56
Athletic Club
0.68
Total expected goals: 2.24
Juventude and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Juventude
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.62 -38%
Athletic Club
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juventude vs Athletic Club: result vs prediction
Juventude 0 – 2 Athletic Club
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juventude vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventude | 55.9% | 1.79 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventude | 55.9% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Athletic Club | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventude win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 42.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.5% |
| 2-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
Juventude vs Athletic Club stats
Juventude and Athletic Club recent form
| Juventude |
WDDWWD |
| Athletic Club |
LWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juventude and Athletic Club going into this match
Juventude record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 19 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Athletic Club record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Juventude vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Juventude wins
1Draws
0Athletic Club wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Athletic Club | Juventude | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juventude vs Athletic Club odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.4%, draw 27.9%, away 16.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.64 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.32 | 5.55 |
| 888Sport | 1.65 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.30 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.55 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.55 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.32 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.51 | 5.76 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 3.10 | 4.70 |
| Unibet | 1.73 | 3.30 | 5.20 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.67 ▲ +0.02
X
3.32 ▼ -0.14
2
5.55 ▼ -0.08
10 snapshots recorded, from .