Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Ponte Preta
vs
CRB
1 – 0 Full time
| 29′ | Sergio Palacios | ||
| 38′ | Juan Rodrigues Leopoldino | ||
| 40′ | Guilherme Brandão Azevedo | ||
| 45′ | Danilo Barcelos | ||
| 45′ | Thiago Fernandes RodriguesVinicius Barata | ||
| 51′ | Reverson Paiva | ||
| 53′ | Emanuell Silva Ferreira | ||
| 58′ | Emanuell Silva FerreiraDavid da Hora | ||
| 58′ | Juan Rodrigues LeopoldinoMurilo Henrique Cavalcante | ||
| 65′ | DenisGustavo Lopes Teles | ||
| 65′ | Daniel Sampaio SimõesEstevão Barreto de Oliveira | ||
| 70′ | Gilson Kleina | ||
| 72′ | Fabio AlemãoYgor Catatau | ||
| 78′ | Danilo BarcelosDiego | ||
| 80′ | MikaelLuiz Phellype Luciano Silva | ||
| 80′ | Reverson PaivaLucas Lovat | ||
| 90′ | Rodrigo·Souza |
Ponte Preta
10%
Draw
18%
CRB
73%
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 25 | Possession % | 75 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 7 | Saves | 3 |
| 128 | Accurate passes | 530 |
Ponte Preta vs CRB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ponte Preta vs CRB
| Probability | Ponte Preta | Draw | CRB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.9% | 17.2% | 75.9% |
| Market | 10.4% | 18.0% | 71.6% |
| Final | 9.6% | 17.8% | 72.7% |
| Edge | -3.5% | -0.8% | +4.3% |
Why CRB
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices CRB below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Ponte Preta and CRB expected goals
Ponte Preta
0.60
CRB
2.34
Total expected goals: 2.94
Ponte Preta and CRB attack and defence ratings
Ponte Preta
Attack
0.45 -55%
Defence
2.05 +105%
CRB
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ponte Preta vs CRB: result vs prediction
Ponte Preta 1 – 0 CRB
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ponte Preta vs CRB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 72.7% | 1.38 | +4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ponte Preta | 9.6% |
| Draw | 17.8% | |
| CRB | 72.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.3% |
| No | 58.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 53.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 24.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 14.5% |
| 0-1 | 11.7% | |
| 0-3 | 11.4% |
Ponte Preta vs CRB stats
Ponte Preta and CRB recent form
| Ponte Preta |
LLLLLL |
| CRB |
WLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ponte Preta and CRB going into this match
Ponte Preta record
- They have won 2 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
CRB record
- They have won 13 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Ponte Preta vs CRB head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Ponte Preta wins
2Draws
2CRB wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | CRB | Ponte Preta | Brazil Serie B | 4-2 |
| 2024-09-20 | CRB | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-02 | Ponte Preta | CRB | Serie B | 4-2 |
| 2023-11-25 | Ponte Preta | CRB | Serie B | 3-0 |
| 2023-07-21 | CRB | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-05 | CRB | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Ponte Preta | CRB | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-07 | Ponte Preta | CRB | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2021-08-01 | CRB | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2021-01-24 | Ponte Preta | CRB | Serie B | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ponte Preta vs CRB odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.4%, draw 18.0%, away 71.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.85 | 5.15 | 1.30 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 4.75 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 9.50 | 5.50 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Marathonbet | 8.60 | 5.20 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 9.65 | 5.58 | 1.31 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
8.93 ▼ -0.56
X
5.18 ▼ -0.12
2
1.30 ▲ +0.03
7 snapshots recorded, from .