Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Botafogo SP
vs
Ponte Preta
2 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | Rafael Gava | ||
| 24′ | Gustavo Vilar dos Santos | ||
| 26′ | Danilo Barcelos | ||
| 40′ | Patrick Brey | ||
| 44′ | André da Silva Lima | ||
| 45′ | André da Silva LimaJulio De Oliveira | ||
| 45′ | Danilo BarcelosJuan Rodrigues Leopoldino | ||
| 72′ | Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos SantosWesley Santos | ||
| 73′ | Arthur CaíkeHygor | ||
| 75′ | DenisFelipe Di Mauro Reis Coutinho | ||
| 75′ | Rodrigo·SouzaGustavo Lopes Teles | ||
| 75′ | Jonathan da Cruz SilvaDiego | ||
| 85′ | Rafael GavaMatheus Sales | ||
| 85′ | José Hugo Sousa dos SantosThiago Henrique Moraes | ||
| 90′ | Pedro HenriqueJonathan |
Botafogo SP
74%
Draw
17%
Ponte Preta
9%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 480 | Accurate passes | 246 |
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta
| Probability | Botafogo SP | Draw | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.6% | 18.7% | 8.6% |
| Market | 74.4% | 17.1% | 8.5% |
| Final | 74.0% | 17.5% | 8.6% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +1.7% | +0.1% |
Why Botafogo SP
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 0.67.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Botafogo SP and Ponte Preta expected goals
Botafogo SP
2.25
Ponte Preta
0.67
Total expected goals: 2.92
Botafogo SP and Ponte Preta attack and defence ratings
Botafogo SP
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.36 +36%
Ponte Preta
Attack
0.51 -49%
Defence
1.84 +84%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta: result vs prediction
Botafogo SP 2 – 0 Ponte Preta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botafogo SP | 74.0% | 1.35 | -1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Botafogo SP win | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botafogo SP | 74.0% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| Ponte Preta | 8.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botafogo SP win | 49.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 27.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 3-0 | 10.3% |
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta stats
Botafogo SP and Ponte Preta recent form
| Botafogo SP |
DLLLLL |
| Ponte Preta |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Botafogo SP and Ponte Preta going into this match
Botafogo SP record
- They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ponte Preta record
- They have won 3 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Botafogo SP wins
4Draws
4Ponte Preta wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | Brazil Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | Paulista - A1 | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2024-06-20 | Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-07 | Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta | Paulista - A1 | 0-3 |
| 2023-08-12 | Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2023-05-02 | Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-16 | Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | Paulista - A1 | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-14 | Ponte Preta | Botafogo SP | Paulista - A1 | 0-0 |
| 2021-03-13 | Botafogo SP | Ponte Preta | Paulista - A1 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Botafogo SP vs Ponte Preta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 17.1%, away 8.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 6.06 | 11.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 6.25 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.25 | 10.00 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 5.80 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.15 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 5.51 | 12.51 |
| SBO | 1.27 | 4.84 | 7.91 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.26 ▲ +0.04
X
5.50 ▼ -0.30
2
11.00 ▼ -0.50
16 snapshots recorded, from .