Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Goias
vs
Atletico Goianiense
0 – 1 Full time
| 33′ | Warley Leandro da SilvaEwerthon Diogenes da Silva | ||
| 33′ | Guilherme Lopes | ||
| 45′ | Pedro Junqueira de OliveiraLuiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida | ||
| 48′ | João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço | ||
| 50′ | José Domingos de Moraes Neto | ||
| 62′ | Marrony da Silva Liberato SilveiraHenrique | ||
| 62′ | José Domingos de Moraes NetoCristiano Claudinei Nogueira | ||
| 65′ | Rodrigo SoaresNicolas Vichiatto Da Silva | ||
| 65′ | Lucas LimaCarlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro | ||
| 74′ | João Paulo Ferreira LourençoGeirton Marques Aires | ||
| 78′ | Gustavo Maia da SilvaBruno José | ||
| 78′ | Geovany SoaresGebson Gomes Dos Santos | ||
| 80′ | Luiz Felipe | ||
| 84′ | Jean CarlosWellington Rato | ||
| 87′ | Nicolas Vichiatto Da Silva |
Goias
35%
Draw
32%
Atletico Goianiense
33%
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 358 | Accurate passes | 273 |
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Goias vs Atletico Goianiense
| Probability | Goias | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 32.8% | 36.5% |
| Market | 36.7% | 31.4% | 31.9% |
| Final | 35.2% | 31.7% | 33.0% |
| Edge | -6.0% | +1.4% | +4.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
63%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Goias and Atletico Goianiense expected goals
Goias
0.98
Atletico Goianiense
1.09
Total expected goals: 2.08
Goias and Atletico Goianiense attack and defence ratings
Goias
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Atletico Goianiense
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
0.73 -27%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense: result vs prediction
Goias 0 – 1 Atletico Goianiense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 35.2% | 2.84 | -6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 35.2% |
| Draw | 31.7% | |
| Atletico Goianiense | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Goias win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 69.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.3% |
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense stats
Goias and Atletico Goianiense recent form
| Goias |
WWLLWD |
| Atletico Goianiense |
LWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Goias and Atletico Goianiense going into this match
Goias record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Goianiense record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Goias wins
5Draws
2Atletico Goianiense wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Atletico Goianiense | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Goias | Atletico Goianiense | Goiano - 1 | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Atletico Goianiense | Goias | Goiano - 1 | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-18 | Atletico Goianiense | Goias | Goiano - 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Goias | Atletico Goianiense | Brazil Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Atletico Goianiense | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-09 | Goias | Atletico Goianiense | Goiano - 1 | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Atletico Goianiense | Goias | Goiano - 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-09 | Goias | Atletico Goianiense | Goiano - 1 | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Atletico Goianiense | Goias | Goiano - 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Goias vs Atletico Goianiense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 31.4%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.51 | 2.93 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.05 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 2.93 | 2.91 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.07 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.43 | 2.87 | 2.69 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.88 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.50 ▲ +0.10
X
2.93 ▲ +0.08
2
2.88 ▼ -0.38
12 snapshots recorded, from .