Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Sport Recife
vs
São Bernardo
2 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Mariano Andrés Soso | ||
| 17′ | Neto Pessoa | ||
| 40′ | Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida | ||
| 43′ | Raí Lopes de Oliveira | ||
| 46′ | Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes | ||
| 53′ | Fabrício Daniel | ||
| 59′ | JuanKervin Andrade | ||
| 59′ | Raí Lopes de OliveiraEdson Lucas Pereira | ||
| 65′ | Fabrício DanielLucas Fernandes | ||
| 67′ | Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães | ||
| 69′ | Neto PessoaPedro Henrique Perotti | ||
| 73′ | Lucas Eduardo·Lima da SilvaFoguinho | ||
| 73′ | Felipe GarciaPedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva | ||
| 76′ | Jemerson | ||
| 78′ | Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesLucas Rian Santos Oliveira | ||
| 78′ | Eduardo·da Silva AlbuquerqueRomisson | ||
| 79′ | ClaudinhoAugusto Pucci De Freitas | ||
| 79′ | Carlos María de Pena BoninoArthur Maron Cruz | ||
| 82′ | Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva | ||
| 86′ | Patrick de Paula Carreiro | ||
| 87′ | Patrick de Paula Carreiro | ||
| 90′ | Habraão Lincon do Nascimento Saraiva |
Sport Recife
49%
Draw
26%
São Bernardo
25%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 385 | Accurate passes | 412 |
Sport Recife vs São Bernardo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sport Recife vs São Bernardo
| Probability | Sport Recife | Draw | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.0% | 27.3% | 33.7% |
| Market | 52.8% | 25.4% | 21.8% |
| Final | 49.4% | 25.9% | 24.7% |
| Edge | -13.9% | +1.9% | +12.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Sport Recife and São Bernardo expected goals
Sport Recife
1.49
São Bernardo
1.37
Total expected goals: 2.85
Sport Recife and São Bernardo attack and defence ratings
Sport Recife
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
1.18 +18%
São Bernardo
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sport Recife vs São Bernardo: result vs prediction
Sport Recife 2 – 1 São Bernardo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sport Recife vs São Bernardo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Recife | 49.4% | 2.03 | -13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Recife | 49.4% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| São Bernardo | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Recife win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Sport Recife vs São Bernardo stats
Sport Recife and São Bernardo recent form
| Sport Recife |
WLWLWL |
| São Bernardo |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sport Recife and São Bernardo going into this match
Sport Recife record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
São Bernardo record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Sport Recife vs São Bernardo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Sport Recife wins
1Draws
0São Bernardo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | São Bernardo | Sport Recife | Brazil Serie B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sport Recife vs São Bernardo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 25.4%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.64 | 4.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.70 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.64 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.76 | 4.70 |
| SBO | 1.75 | 3.32 | 3.90 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.75 ▼ -0.10
X
3.64 ▲ +0.19
2
4.25 ▲ +0.28
8 snapshots recorded, from .