Goias
vs
Athletic Club
2 – 1 Full time
| 25′ | Lucas Lima | ||
| 28′ | Diogo·Batista de Souza | ||
| 43′ | Luiz Felipe | ||
| 45′ | Carlos Eduardo de Sousa LeopoldinoLuiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida | ||
| 58′ | Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida | ||
| 61′ | JhonatanWilinton Aponza Carabali | ||
| 61′ | Joao Victor Broad Moreira GuimaraesOtavio Bruno Dos Santos | ||
| 63′ | João Miguel | ||
| 68′ | Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesFelipe Negrucci Berdague | ||
| 69′ | Jean CarlosHalerrandrio dos Santos Feitosa | ||
| 69′ | Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de CastroWellington Rato | ||
| 69′ | Filipe MachadoLucas Rodrigues | ||
| 74′ | Maswel Ananias SilvaYago Santos de Andrade | ||
| 74′ | Diogo·Batista de SouzaDouglas da Silva Santos | ||
| 74′ | Luiz FelipeRamon Menezes | ||
| 89′ | Djalma Silva | ||
| 90′ | Lucas Rodrigues |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 502 | Accurate passes | 283 |
Goias vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Goias vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Goias | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.3% | 28.8% | 35.9% |
| Market | 51.6% | 27.7% | 20.6% |
| Final | 47.5% | 28.0% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -16.3% | +1.0% | +15.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Goias and Athletic Club expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
Goias and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Goias
Athletic Club
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Goias vs Athletic Club: result vs prediction
Goias 2 – 1 Athletic Club
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Goias vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 47.5% | 2.10 | -16.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 47.5% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Athletic Club | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.6% |
| No | 45.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Goias win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-0 | 8.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.3% |
Goias vs Athletic Club stats
Goias and Athletic Club recent form
| Goias |
LLWWLL |
| Athletic Club |
LDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Goias and Athletic Club going into this match
Goias record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Athletic Club record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Goias vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Athletic Club | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Athletic Club | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-24 | Goias | Athletic Club | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Goias vs Athletic Club odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 27.7%, away 20.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.35 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.13 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.35 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.36 | 4.73 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.17 | 4.27 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .