Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 33

Operario-PR vs Goias

0 – 2 Full time

16′João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço
31′Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida
37′Matheus TrindadeVinícius Diniz Dall Antonia
43′Paraiba
45′ParaibaÍndio
45′PedrinhoAylon
58′Hildeberto PereiraBrenno
64′Lucas LimaWellington Rato
64′Luiz Felipe Clemente de AlmeidaJean Carlos
75′João Paulo Ferreira LourençoHalerrandrio dos Santos Feitosa
82′Juan ZuluagaDudu
83′Maguinho
88′Filipe MachadoGuilherme Baldoria de Camargo
88′Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de CastroGeirton Marques Aires
88′Lucas RibeiroLuis Fellipe Campos Doria

Estadio Germano Kruger, Punta GrossaReferee: Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos

Operario-PR 43%
Draw 28%
Goias 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
59 Possession % 41
14 Corners 0
17 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
381 Accurate passes 265

Operario-PR vs Goias overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Operario-PR vs Goias

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOperario-PRDrawGoias
Model49.3%26.1%24.6%
Market40.6%29.0%30.3%
Final42.8%28.3%28.9%
Edge+2.2%-0.7%-1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Operario-PR

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.16.
  • The market prices Operario-PR below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Operario-PR ↓ / Goias → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 9% 12% 7% 2 8% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Operario-PR and Goias expected goals

Operario-PR 1.71
Goias 1.16

Total expected goals: 2.88

Operario-PR and Goias attack and defence ratings

Operario-PR

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Goias

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Operario-PR vs Goias: result vs prediction

Operario-PR 0 – 2 Goias

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Operario-PR vs Goias markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Operario-PR 42.8% 2.34 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.4% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.8% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Operario-PR42.8%
Draw28.3%
Goias28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.9%
Under 2.545.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.4%
No42.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)57.2%
Handicap -1Operario-PR win27.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss50.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
2-19.6%
1-08.5%

Operario-PR vs Goias stats

Operario-PR and Goias recent form

newest first
Operario-PR LLDWDW
Goias WLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Operario-PR and Goias going into this match

league record before kick-off

Operario-PR record

  • They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Goias record

  • They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Operario-PR vs Goias head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Operario-PR wins 1Draws 4Goias wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-21GoiasOperario-PRBrazil Serie B0-3
2025-08-09GoiasOperario-PRBrazil Serie B2-1
2025-04-12Operario-PRGoiasBrazil Serie B1-2
2024-10-29GoiasOperario-PRSerie B3-0
2024-07-18Operario-PRGoiasSerie B2-0
2021-11-06Operario-PRGoiasSerie B1-1
2021-07-30GoiasOperario-PRSerie B1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Operario-PR vs Goias odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.6%, draw 29.0%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.25 3.10 3.20
Bet365 2.30 3.30 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 3.13 3.00
Betano 2.30 3.25 3.10
Betfair 2.25 3.30 3.00
Dafabet 2.35 3.30 3.10
Marathonbet 2.23 3.10 3.18
Pinnacle 2.36 3.24 3.27
SBO 2.18 3.04 2.91
William Hill 2.30 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.27 ▲ +0.21
X 3.19 ▲ +0.08
2 3.05 ▼ -0.59

8 snapshots recorded, from .