Operario-PR
vs
Goias
Garuda Lions Prediction: Operario-PR
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Operario-PR vs Goias overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Operario-PR vs Goias
| Probability | Operario-PR | Draw | Goias |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 26.1% | 24.6% |
| Market | 42.8% | 29.7% | 27.5% |
| Final | 44.4% | 28.8% | 26.8% |
| Edge | +6.5% | -3.6% | -2.9% |
Why Operario-PR
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.16.
- The market prices Operario-PR below the model: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Operario-PR vs Goias match preview
Operario-PR faces Goias in a Brazil Serie B matchup, with the model giving Operario-PR a 56% chance of winning, while Goias stands at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability. Both teams have a 55% chance of scoring, and there is a 55% likelihood that the match will see over 2.5 goals. Expected goals for Operario-PR are 1.86, compared to Goias's 1.03.
In terms of recent form, Operario-PR has recorded a sequence of results with two wins, two draws, and one loss, while Goias has struggled with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. Historically, in their last three encounters, Operario-PR has secured one victory, while Goias has won twice. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Operario-PR and Goias expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Operario-PR and Goias attack and defence ratings
Operario-PR
Goias
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Operario-PR vs Goias markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 44.4% | 2.25 | +6.5% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 44.4% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Goias | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Operario-PR win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Operario-PR vs Goias stats
Operario-PR and Goias recent form
| Operario-PR |
LLDWDW |
| Goias |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Operario-PR and Goias season so far
Operario-PR record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Goias record
- They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Operario-PR vs Goias head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Goias | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Goias | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Operario-PR | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Operario-PR vs Goias odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 29.7%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.08 | 3.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.08 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 3.12 | 3.66 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 2.97 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .