America Mineiro
vs
Operario-PR
Garuda Lions Prediction: Operario-PR
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
America Mineiro vs Operario-PR overview
Garuda Lions analysis: America Mineiro vs Operario-PR
| Probability | America Mineiro | Draw | Operario-PR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.1% | 30.6% | 43.3% |
| Market | 30.2% | 27.1% | 42.7% |
| Final | 29.2% | 27.9% | 42.9% |
| Edge | -4.1% | +3.5% | +0.6% |
Why Operario-PR
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
America Mineiro vs Operario-PR match preview
America Mineiro faces Operario-PR in a Brazil Serie B matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 17, 2026. The probability model indicates that America Mineiro has a 25% chance of winning, while Operario-PR stands at 47%, with a 28% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at an 11% frequency. America Mineiro's recent form shows five consecutive losses followed by one win, whereas Operario-PR has recorded two losses, one draw, and two wins in their last five matches.
In terms of expected goals, America Mineiro is projected to score 1.04, while Operario-PR is expected to net 1.51. The model suggests a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability that both teams will score. In their last three encounters, America Mineiro has yet to secure a win against Operario-PR, who have two victories and one draw in that span.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
America Mineiro and Operario-PR expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
America Mineiro and Operario-PR attack and defence ratings
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
America Mineiro vs Operario-PR markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 42.9% | 2.33 | +0.6% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America Mineiro | 29.2% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Operario-PR | 42.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.5% |
| No | 53.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Operario-PR win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
America Mineiro vs Operario-PR stats
America Mineiro and Operario-PR recent form
| America Mineiro |
LLLLLL |
| Operario-PR |
LLLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
America Mineiro and Operario-PR season so far
America Mineiro record
- They have won 4 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Operario-PR record
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
America Mineiro vs Operario-PR head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Operario-PR | America Mineiro | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-07 | America Mineiro | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Operario-PR | America Mineiro | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-24 | Operario-PR | America Mineiro | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-06 | America Mineiro | Operario-PR | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2020-11-21 | Operario-PR | America Mineiro | Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2020-08-14 | America Mineiro | Operario-PR | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2020-03-05 | Operario-PR | America Mineiro | Copa Do Brasil | 0-2 |
| 2019-08-31 | America Mineiro | Operario-PR | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2019-04-26 | Operario-PR | America Mineiro | Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
America Mineiro vs Operario-PR odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 27.0%, away 42.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.42 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.45 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.42 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14 | 3.74 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 2.85 | 3.07 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .