CRB
vs
Botafogo SP
Garuda Lions Prediction: CRB
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
CRB vs Botafogo SP overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CRB vs Botafogo SP
| Probability | CRB | Draw | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.5% | 24.7% | 18.9% |
| Market | 58.1% | 24.5% | 17.4% |
| Final | 57.7% | 24.6% | 17.8% |
| Edge | -1.6% | +0.1% | +1.5% |
Why CRB
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.99.
Best available price on the pick: 1.64, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
CRB vs Botafogo SP match preview
CRB enters the match against Botafogo SP with a 61% probability of winning, while Botafogo SP has a 16% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of CRB, with an expected goals tally of 1.98 for CRB compared to 0.91 for Botafogo SP. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with CRB recording three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Botafogo SP has two wins, one draw, and three losses.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 55% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams have a 53% chance of scoring at least once. Historically, in their last three encounters, CRB has won twice while Botafogo SP has one victory. The confidence grade for this prediction stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CRB and Botafogo SP expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
CRB and Botafogo SP attack and defence ratings
CRB
Botafogo SP
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
CRB vs Botafogo SP markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 57.7% | 1.73 | -1.6% | 1.64 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 57.7% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Botafogo SP | 17.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 33.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 43.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
CRB vs Botafogo SP stats
CRB and Botafogo SP recent form
| CRB |
DWLWLW |
| Botafogo SP |
WWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CRB and Botafogo SP season so far
CRB record
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Botafogo SP record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CRB vs Botafogo SP head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Botafogo SP | CRB | Brazil Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-24 | CRB | Botafogo SP | Brazil Serie B | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-26 | Botafogo SP | CRB | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-25 | Botafogo SP | CRB | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2024-07-17 | CRB | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 4-1 |
| 2023-08-05 | CRB | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Botafogo SP | CRB | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2020-12-20 | CRB | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2020-09-25 | Botafogo SP | CRB | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2019-10-24 | CRB | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CRB vs Botafogo SP odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 24.7%, away 17.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.80 | 5.31 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.91 | 5.53 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.45 | 4.56 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .