Brazil Serie B · 2026-10-12T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 33

Fortaleza EC vs CRB

2 – 2 Full time

11′			Luiz Fernando
11′			Maílton
42′			Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues
45′			Pedro Castro
45′			Rodrigo Oliveira dos SantosRodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza
50′			Luiz FernandoVitor Ferreira
54′			Crystopher
60′			Juan Camilo CantilloNathan Fogaça
60′			Lucas SashaLucas Crispim
65′			Thiago Fernandes RodriguesVinicius Barata
73′			Pedro HenriqueWelliton Silva de Azevedo Matheus
75′			Nathan Fogaça
78′			Daniel Sampaio SimõesGeovane
78′			MikaelDouglas Baggio
86′			Lucas Lovat
90′			Dadá BelmonteYgor Catatau
90′			Pedro CastroLuizão
90′			Lucas Crispim

Estadio Castelão, FortalezaReferee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda

Fortaleza EC

49%

Draw

28%

CRB

24%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

7	Shots	5
1	Shots on target	2
49	Possession %	51
6	Corners	11

Fortaleza EC vs CRB overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fortaleza EC vs CRB

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Fortaleza EC	Draw	CRB
Model	44.6%	29.6%	25.8%
Market	50.0%	27.2%	22.8%
Final	48.7%	27.8%	23.6%
Edge	-1.3%	+0.6%	+0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Fortaleza EC

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.00.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

90%

2+ goals

70%

3+ goals

43%

No goals

10%

Fortaleza EC and CRB expected goals

Fortaleza EC

1.39

CRB

1.00

Total expected goals: 2.40

Fortaleza EC and CRB attack and defence ratings

Fortaleza EC

Attack

1.07 +7%

Defence

0.78 -22%

CRB

Attack

1.33 +33%

Defence

0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fortaleza EC vs CRB: result vs prediction

Fortaleza EC 2 – 2 CRB

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Nautico Recife v Vila Nova — match page · 2026-10-11
Cuiaba vs Avai — team news & stats · 2026-10-11
Operario-PR vs Goias · 2026-10-11
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta — team news & stats · 2026-10-12
Criciuma v America Mineiro — match page · 2026-10-12
Botafogo SP v Ceara — match page · 2026-10-13
Athletic Club vs Londrina · 2026-10-13

Before and after this match

Fortaleza EC, previous: America Mineiro v Fortaleza EC analysis
Fortaleza EC, next: Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC prediction
CRB, previous: CRB vs Atletico Goianiense: odds and pick
CRB, next: CRB v Botafogo SP analysis

Fortaleza EC vs CRB markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Fortaleza EC	48.7%	2.05	-1.3%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	57.1%	1.75	—	—
Both teams to score	No	51.1%	1.96	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	76.4%	1.31	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	55.4%	1.81	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Fortaleza EC	48.7%
	Draw	27.8%
	CRB	23.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	42.9%
	Under 2.5	57.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	48.9%
	No	51.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	76.4%
	12 (either side)	72.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	51.3%
Handicap -1	Fortaleza EC win	22.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.6%
	Loss	55.4%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.0%
	1-0	11.4%
	0-0	10.4%

Fortaleza EC vs CRB stats

Fortaleza EC and CRB recent form

newest first

Fortaleza EC	WDDWDW
CRB	WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fortaleza EC and CRB going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fortaleza EC record

They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

CRB record

They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Fortaleza EC vs CRB head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Fortaleza EC wins 2Draws 3CRB wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-06-21	CRB	Fortaleza EC	Brazil Serie B	1-1
2026-05-14	CRB	Fortaleza EC	Copa Do Brasil	0-0
2026-04-22	Fortaleza EC	CRB	Copa Do Brasil	2-1
2025-03-27	Fortaleza EC	CRB	Copa do Nordeste	0-1
2024-06-09	CRB	Fortaleza EC	Copa do Nordeste	2-0
2024-06-06	Fortaleza EC	CRB	Copa do Nordeste	2-0
2024-02-11	CRB	Fortaleza EC	Copa do Nordeste	1-0
2022-03-19	Fortaleza EC	CRB	Copa do Nordeste	2-0
2021-08-04	CRB	Fortaleza EC	Copa Do Brasil	0-1
2021-07-29	Fortaleza EC	CRB	Copa Do Brasil	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fortaleza EC vs CRB odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 27.2%, away 22.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.84	3.44	4.11
Bet365	1.90	3.30	4.33
BetVictor	1.85	3.30	3.75
Betano	1.93	3.60	4.40
Betfair	1.85	3.50	4.00
Dafabet	1.93	3.50	4.10
Marathonbet	1.82	3.44	4.10
Pinnacle	1.93	3.58	4.12
SBO	1.89	3.04	3.43
William Hill	1.85	3.30	3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.87 ▲ +0.04

X 3.44 ▲ +0.02

2 4.10 ▼ -0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-08T08:10:02Z.