Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Criciuma
vs
America Mineiro
1 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | Rafael Raul Barcelos | ||
| 17′ | Luidy Montes Carneiro | ||
| 41′ | Marcelo Hermes | ||
| 45′ | WaguininhoRómulo Otero | ||
| 49′ | César Martins | ||
| 58′ | Luidy Montes CarneiroGuilherme Parede | ||
| 70′ | Guilherme Teixeira LoboJean | ||
| 70′ | Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva | ||
| 76′ | Jhonata Robert Alves da SilvaDiego Gonçalves | ||
| 76′ | Nicolas Godinho JohannYuri Jonathan | ||
| 77′ | Paulo Victor·Ferreira de JesusFernando Elizari | ||
| 84′ | Fellipe MateusEduardo Biasi | ||
| 87′ | Eduardo Biasi | ||
| 89′ | Matías SegoviaJulio César Leme Do Nascimento | ||
| 89′ | Jorge JiménezOtavio Goncalves |
Criciuma
67%
Draw
22%
America Mineiro
11%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 420 | Accurate passes | 293 |
Criciuma vs America Mineiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Criciuma vs America Mineiro
| Probability | Criciuma | Draw | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.7% | 28.9% | 13.5% |
| Market | 70.0% | 20.2% | 9.8% |
| Final | 66.9% | 22.4% | 10.7% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +2.2% | +0.9% |
Why Criciuma
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
14%
Criciuma and America Mineiro expected goals
Criciuma
1.45
America Mineiro
0.57
Total expected goals: 2.02
Criciuma and America Mineiro attack and defence ratings
Criciuma
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.00 +0%
America Mineiro
Attack
0.59 -41%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Criciuma vs America Mineiro: result vs prediction
Criciuma 1 – 0 America Mineiro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Criciuma vs America Mineiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Criciuma | 66.9% | 1.49 | -3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Criciuma | 66.9% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| America Mineiro | 10.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.5% |
| No | 65.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Criciuma win | 30.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.3% | |
| Loss | 42.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.1% |
| 0-0 | 14.3% | |
| 2-0 | 13.9% |
Criciuma vs America Mineiro stats
Criciuma and America Mineiro recent form
| Criciuma |
LWWLLL |
| America Mineiro |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Criciuma and America Mineiro going into this match
Criciuma record
- They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
America Mineiro record
- They have won 4 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 32 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Criciuma vs America Mineiro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Criciuma wins
5Draws
3America Mineiro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | America Mineiro | Criciuma | Brazil Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Criciuma | America Mineiro | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-21 | America Mineiro | Criciuma | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2021-06-10 | Criciuma | America Mineiro | Copa Do Brasil | 2-2 |
| 2021-06-03 | America Mineiro | Criciuma | Copa Do Brasil | 0-0 |
| 2019-09-11 | America Mineiro | Criciuma | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2019-05-11 | Criciuma | America Mineiro | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2017-08-23 | America Mineiro | Criciuma | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2017-05-26 | Criciuma | America Mineiro | Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2015-09-26 | America Mineiro | Criciuma | Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Criciuma vs America Mineiro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.0%, draw 20.2%, away 9.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 4.55 | 9.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.50 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 4.40 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.37 | 4.85 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.75 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 4.90 | 9.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 4.55 | 9.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.09 | 11.44 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 4.24 | 7.43 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 4.50 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.31 ▼ -0.09
X
4.55 ▲ +0.40
2
9.38 ▲ +1.88
10 snapshots recorded, from .