Athletic Club
vs
Londrina
2 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | João Vitor de Souza Martins | ||
| 7′ | Caio César Rodrigues Souza | ||
| 18′ | João Miguel | ||
| 45′ | Jhan Pool Torres CañeteFelipe Negrucci Berdague | ||
| 45′ | Maswel Ananias SilvaOtavio Bruno Dos Santos | ||
| 45′ | Joao Victor Broad Moreira GuimaraesCarlos Moisés de Lima | ||
| 62′ | Herbert Mateus Almeida De OliveiraPablo Dyego | ||
| 62′ | Geovane Santana MeurerThalis Henrique Cantanhede | ||
| 63′ | William PottkerIgor Ruan Sousa dos Santos | ||
| 66′ | Jhonatan | ||
| 74′ | Victor Hugo de Faria MotaJoao Coni | ||
| 79′ | Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro LindesDixon Vera | ||
| 80′ | Enzo Henrique dos SantosJosé Carlos Cracco Neto | ||
| 80′ | HeronKevyn Lucas Ramos da Costa | ||
| 82′ | Carlos Moisés de Lima | ||
| 84′ | João Vitor de Souza Martins | ||
| 89′ | João Miguel |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 338 | Accurate passes | 377 |
Athletic Club vs Londrina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Athletic Club vs Londrina
| Probability | Athletic Club | Draw | Londrina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 23.6% | 21.3% |
| Market | 47.4% | 28.2% | 24.3% |
| Final | 49.3% | 27.1% | 23.6% |
| Edge | +1.9% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
Why Athletic Club
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.18.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Athletic Club and Londrina expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
Athletic Club and Londrina attack and defence ratings
Athletic Club
Londrina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Athletic Club vs Londrina: result vs prediction
Athletic Club 2 – 2 Londrina
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Athletic Club vs Londrina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Athletic Club | 49.3% | 2.03 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Athletic Club | 49.3% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Londrina | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Athletic Club win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.3% |
Athletic Club vs Londrina stats
Athletic Club and Londrina recent form
| Athletic Club |
LLDDWL |
| Londrina |
LLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Athletic Club and Londrina going into this match
Athletic Club record
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Londrina record
- They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Athletic Club vs Londrina head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Londrina | Athletic Club | Brazil Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Athletic Club | Londrina | Serie C | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-02 | Londrina | Athletic Club | Serie C | 2-3 |
| 2024-07-13 | Athletic Club | Londrina | Serie C | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Athletic Club vs Londrina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 28.2%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.32 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.13 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.35 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.32 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.56 | 3.95 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.02 | 3.43 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .