Londrina
vs
Cuiaba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cuiaba
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Londrina vs Cuiaba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Londrina vs Cuiaba
| Probability | Londrina | Draw | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 30.4% | 37.9% |
| Market | 34.7% | 30.0% | 35.2% |
| Final | 33.9% | 30.1% | 35.9% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +0.4% | +2.7% |
Why Cuiaba
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cuiaba below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.73, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Londrina vs Cuiaba match preview
Londrina and Cuiaba are set to face off in a closely contested match, with both teams having a 35% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline suggested by our analysis is 0-1, occurring with a 10% likelihood. Londrina's recent form shows a struggle, with five games resulting in just one win, while Cuiaba has had a mixed performance with two wins and three draws in their last six matches.
In terms of expected goals, Londrina is projected to score 1.12, while Cuiaba is slightly ahead at 1.24. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 42%, and there is a 49% chance that both teams will find the net. The last head-to-head encounter ended in a draw, with Londrina still searching for their first win against Cuiaba.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Londrina and Cuiaba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Londrina and Cuiaba attack and defence ratings
Londrina
Cuiaba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Londrina vs Cuiaba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuiaba | 35.9% | 2.78 | +2.7% | 2.73 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 33.9% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Cuiaba | 35.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.3% |
| No | 50.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cuiaba win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.7% | |
| 0-1 | 10.4% |
Londrina vs Cuiaba stats
Londrina and Cuiaba recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Londrina and Cuiaba season so far
Londrina record
- They have won 7 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Cuiaba record
- They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Londrina vs Cuiaba head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Cuiaba | Londrina | Brazil Serie B | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Londrina vs Cuiaba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.0%, draw 29.9%, away 35.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.63 | 3.08 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.63 | 3.08 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 3.13 | 2.73 |
| SBO | 2.58 | 2.88 | 2.39 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .