CRB
vs
Londrina
Garuda Lions Prediction: CRB
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — CRB is the favourite, not a value bet.
CRB vs Londrina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CRB vs Londrina
| Probability | CRB | Draw | Londrina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.1% | 24.4% | 20.5% |
| Market | 68.1% | 19.3% | 12.6% |
| Final | 64.9% | 20.6% | 14.5% |
| Edge | -3.3% | +1.3% | +2.0% |
Why CRB
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.8% per unit staked (our 64.9% × 1.39 − 1).
CRB vs Londrina match preview
CRB faces Londrina in a Brazil Serie B matchup on October 24, 2026. According to our model, CRB holds a 64% probability of winning, while Londrina has a 16% chance, and a draw stands at 20%. The expected goals for CRB is 2.33, compared to Londrina's 1.10, suggesting a strong offensive performance from the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of CRB, occurring with a 10% probability.
Recent form indicates CRB has had mixed results with a record of D-W-L-W-L-W, while Londrina has struggled, recording D-L-L-L-L-W. The model also suggests a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score. Despite CRB's favorable position, their recent head-to-head record shows Londrina has previously won against them.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CRB and Londrina expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
CRB and Londrina attack and defence ratings
CRB
Londrina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
CRB vs Londrina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 64.9% | 1.54 | -3.3% | 1.39 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 64.9% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Londrina | 14.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.2% |
| No | 42.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 44.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.1% |
CRB vs Londrina stats
CRB and Londrina recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CRB and Londrina season so far
CRB record
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Londrina record
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
CRB vs Londrina head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Londrina | CRB | Brazil Serie B | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
CRB vs Londrina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.2%, draw 19.2%, away 12.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 4.80 | 7.37 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.39 | 4.80 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.39 | 5.00 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 4.80 | 7.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34 | 5.05 | 8.40 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.22 | 6.09 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .