Goias
vs
CRB
Garuda Lions Prediction: Goias
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.98.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Goias is the favourite, not a value bet.
Goias vs CRB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Goias vs CRB
| Probability | Goias | Draw | CRB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 29.8% | 25.6% |
| Market | 37.6% | 27.7% | 34.7% |
| Final | 39.4% | 28.2% | 32.4% |
| Edge | +1.8% | +0.5% | -2.3% |
Why Goias
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.98.
Best available price on the pick: 2.54, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.0% per unit staked (our 39.4% × 2.54 − 1).
Goias vs CRB match preview
Goias will host CRB in a Brazil Serie B matchup with both teams showing mixed recent form. Goias has recorded two wins and three draws in their last six matches, while CRB has also seen two wins but with more inconsistency, including three losses. According to our model, Goias has a 38% chance of winning, with a draw and CRB each at 31%. The expected goals suggest a narrow contest, with Goias at 1.23 and CRB at 1.08.
Historically, CRB has had the upper hand in their last three encounters, winning twice and drawing once against Goias. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Goias, with a 41% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals and a 48% probability of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Goias and CRB expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Goias and CRB attack and defence ratings
Goias
CRB
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
Before and after this match
Goias vs CRB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 39.4% | 2.54 | +1.8% | 2.54 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Goias | 39.4% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| CRB | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Goias win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Goias vs CRB stats
Goias and CRB recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Goias and CRB season so far
Goias record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CRB record
- They have won 15 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Goias vs CRB head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | CRB | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-08 | Goias | CRB | Brazil Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-14 | CRB | Goias | Brazil Serie B | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Goias vs CRB odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 27.7%, away 34.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44 | 3.36 | 2.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.35 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.44 | 3.36 | 2.64 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 3.46 | 2.68 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .