Nautico Recife
vs
CRB
Garuda Lions Prediction: CRB
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — CRB is the favourite, not a value bet.
Nautico Recife vs CRB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nautico Recife vs CRB
| Probability | Nautico Recife | Draw | CRB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.1% | 28.3% | 41.6% |
| Market | 16.4% | 21.9% | 61.7% |
| Final | 19.8% | 23.5% | 56.7% |
| Edge | +3.4% | +1.6% | -5.0% |
Why CRB
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.0% per unit staked (our 56.7% × 1.57 − 1).
Nautico Recife vs CRB match preview
Nautico Recife faces CRB in a Brazil Serie B matchup with a kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, CRB holds a 45% probability of winning, while Nautico Recife has a 27% chance and a draw is at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of CRB, with expected goals of 1.12 for Nautico Recife and 1.49 for CRB.
In terms of recent form, Nautico Recife has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, while CRB has secured three wins, one draw, and one loss. Additionally, there is a 54% probability that both teams will score, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 49%. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nautico Recife and CRB expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Nautico Recife and CRB attack and defence ratings
Nautico Recife
CRB
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 37 fixtures
- Operario-PR vs Sport Recife — team news & stats
- Avai v São Bernardo — match page
- Novorizontino v Fortaleza EC — match page
- Vila Nova vs Criciuma
- Cuiaba v Juventude — match page
- Athletic Club vs Atletico Goianiense — team news & stats
- Ceara vs America Mineiro — team news & stats
- Goias vs Ponte Preta — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nautico Recife vs CRB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CRB | 56.7% | 1.76 | -5.0% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nautico Recife | 19.8% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| CRB | 56.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | CRB win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 8.9% | |
| 1-2 | 8.9% |
Nautico Recife vs CRB stats
Nautico Recife and CRB recent form
| Nautico Recife |
WLDLLD |
| CRB |
LWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nautico Recife and CRB season so far
Nautico Recife record
- They have won 11 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CRB record
- They have won 16 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Nautico Recife vs CRB head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | CRB | Nautico Recife | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nautico Recife vs CRB odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.4%, draw 21.9%, away 61.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.82 | 4.40 | 1.47 |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.40 | 1.56 |
| Marathonbet | 5.75 | 4.40 | 1.46 |
| Pinnacle | 5.90 | 4.44 | 1.48 |
| SBO | 4.74 | 3.79 | 1.49 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .