Londrina
vs
America Mineiro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Londrina
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.66.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Londrina vs America Mineiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Londrina vs America Mineiro
| Probability | Londrina | Draw | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.3% | 27.9% | 14.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.3% | 27.9% | 14.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Londrina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.66.
Londrina vs America Mineiro match preview
Londrina hosts America Mineiro in a Brazil Serie B clash, with Londrina holding a 57% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Londrina stand at 1.53, while America Mineiro is projected to score 0.66. Recent form shows Londrina has struggled with one win in their last six matches, while America Mineiro has lost five of their last six, indicating a challenging period for both teams.
In their last encounter, Londrina and America Mineiro played to a draw, with Londrina yet to secure a victory against them. The most likely scoreline for this match is 1-0 in favor of Londrina, with a 16% probability. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37%, and both teams to score is at 39%, reflecting a potentially low-scoring affair.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Londrina and America Mineiro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Londrina and America Mineiro attack and defence ratings
Londrina
America Mineiro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
Before and after this match
Londrina vs America Mineiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Londrina | 57.3% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| America Mineiro | 14.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.9% |
| No | 61.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Londrina win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.0% |
| 2-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
Londrina vs America Mineiro stats
Londrina and America Mineiro recent form
| Londrina |
LWDLLL |
| America Mineiro |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Londrina and America Mineiro season so far
Londrina record
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
America Mineiro record
- They have won 5 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Londrina vs America Mineiro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | America Mineiro | Londrina | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.