Operario-PR
vs
Athletic Club
Garuda Lions Prediction: Operario-PR
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Operario-PR vs Athletic Club
| Probability | Operario-PR | Draw | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 23.8% | 34.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.1% | 23.8% | 34.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club match preview
Operario-PR faces Athletic Club in a Brazil Serie B matchup with Operario-PR holding a 42% probability of winning, while Athletic Club stands at 34%. The likelihood of a draw is estimated at 24%. The most probable scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Operario-PR, occurring with an 8% chance. Both teams are expected to score, with a 70% probability, and the match is likely to see over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Recent form indicates that Operario-PR has struggled, recording three losses followed by two draws and a win. In contrast, Athletic Club has had a mixed run with two losses, three draws, and one win in their last six matches. Expected goals for Operario-PR are at 1.88, while Athletic Club's are at 1.68, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Operario-PR and Athletic Club expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.56
Operario-PR and Athletic Club attack and defence ratings
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Operario-PR | 42.1% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Athletic Club | 34.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.9% |
| No | 30.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Operario-PR win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.6% |
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club stats
Operario-PR and Athletic Club recent form
| Operario-PR |
LLLDWD |
| Athletic Club |
DLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Operario-PR and Athletic Club season so far
Operario-PR record
- They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Athletic Club record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Operario-PR vs Athletic Club head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Athletic Club | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Operario-PR | Athletic Club | Brazil Serie B | 1-4 |
| 2025-06-14 | Athletic Club | Operario-PR | Brazil Serie B | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.