Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Juventude
vs
São Bernardo
2 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | sam rodrigo | ||
| 31′ | Alex Alves | ||
| 35′ | Jemerson | ||
| 45′ | Felipe Garcia | ||
| 45′ | Maurício Nogueira Barbieri | ||
| 45′ | Fabio limaManuel Castro | ||
| 46′ | Marcos Paulo Lima Batista Silva | ||
| 49′ | Lucas Fernandes | ||
| 61′ | Marcos Paulo Lima Batista SilvaJuan | ||
| 61′ | Raí RamosNathan·Santos de Araujo | ||
| 63′ | Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva | ||
| 65′ | Felipe GarciaPedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva | ||
| 65′ | Pedro Gabriel Pereira LopesLucas Rian Santos Oliveira | ||
| 69′ | Raí da Silva Pessanha | ||
| 76′ | Lucas FernandesHyoran | ||
| 78′ | Marcos PauloAlan Kardec | ||
| 83′ | Gabriel PiresLuan Martins·Goncalves | ||
| 86′ | Lucas Eduardo·Lima da SilvaFoguinho | ||
| 86′ | ParáHugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães | ||
| 90′ | Rodrigo Ferreira |
Juventude
58%
Draw
26%
São Bernardo
16%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 386 | Accurate passes | 337 |
Juventude vs São Bernardo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventude vs São Bernardo
| Probability | Juventude | Draw | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.9% | 30.3% | 17.8% |
| Market | 60.5% | 24.3% | 15.2% |
| Final | 58.3% | 25.8% | 15.8% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +1.5% | +0.7% |
Why Juventude
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
63%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Juventude and São Bernardo expected goals
Juventude
1.37
São Bernardo
0.70
Total expected goals: 2.07
Juventude and São Bernardo attack and defence ratings
Juventude
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.63 -37%
São Bernardo
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juventude vs São Bernardo: result vs prediction
Juventude 2 – 2 São Bernardo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Ponte Preta v Atletico Goianiense — match page
- Sport Recife v Fortaleza EC — match page
- Ceara vs Juventude
- America Mineiro vs Operario-PR — team news & stats
- Avai vs Athletic Club
- CRB v Botafogo SP — match page
- São Bernardo vs Criciuma — team news & stats
- Vila Nova vs Novorizontino — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Juventude vs São Bernardo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventude | 58.3% | 1.71 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventude | 58.3% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| São Bernardo | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.8% |
| No | 61.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventude win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 48.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.1% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.3% |
Juventude vs São Bernardo stats
Juventude and São Bernardo recent form
| Juventude |
WWWLLW |
| São Bernardo |
LWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Juventude and São Bernardo going into this match
Juventude record
- They have won 17 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 22 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
São Bernardo record
- They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Juventude vs São Bernardo head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1Juventude wins
0Draws
0São Bernardo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | São Bernardo | Juventude | Brazil Serie B | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juventude vs São Bernardo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.5%, draw 24.3%, away 15.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 3.84 | 6.39 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.60 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.90 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 3.90 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 3.84 | 6.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 3.89 | 6.85 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.50 | 5.51 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.54 ▲ +0.03
X
3.84 ▲ +0.01
2
6.15 ▼ -0.24
9 snapshots recorded, from .