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Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 34

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense

1 – 1 Full time

9′Sergio Palacios
32′Junior Barreto
38′Danilo Barcelos
42′David da Hora
45′Guilherme Costa MarquesMatheuzinho
45′Leandro VilelaBruno José
51′Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes
61′Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova JúniorRyan Henrique Pereira Andrade
63′Ewerthon Diogenes da SilvaJoão Pedro
73′Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
74′David da HoraEmanuell Silva Ferreira
76′Guilherme LopesYuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves
84′Yuri Henrique Da Silveira Alves
87′João Pedro
90′DaniloJuan Rodrigues Leopoldino
90′Gustavo TellesDiego Monteiro Leao
90′Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade

Moisés Lucarelli, CampinasReferee: Leonardo Willers Lorenzatto

Ponte Preta 9%
Draw 19%
Atletico Goianiense 72%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 33
5 Shots on target 6
19 Possession % 81
1 Corners 18
17 Fouls 11
5 Saves 4
90 Accurate passes 551

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPonte PretaDrawAtletico Goianiense
Model6.0%16.9%77.2%
Market10.0%19.1%70.9%
Final9.0%18.5%72.5%
Edge-1.0%-0.6%+1.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Atletico Goianiense

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.52.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ponte Preta ↓ / Atletico Goian → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 16% 12% 12% 1 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Ponte Preta and Atletico Goianiense expected goals

Ponte Preta 0.52
Atletico Goianiense 2.31

Total expected goals: 2.82

Ponte Preta and Atletico Goianiense attack and defence ratings

Ponte Preta

Attack 0.47 -53%
Defence 1.99 +99%

Atletico Goianiense

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense: result vs prediction

Ponte Preta 1 – 1 Atletico Goianiense

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 34 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Atletico Goianiense 72.5% 1.38 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score No 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 91.0% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Atletico Goianiense win 54.2% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ponte Preta9.0%
Draw18.5%
Atletico Goianiense72.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.6%
Under 2.546.4%
Both teams to scoreYes37.0%
No63.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)27.5%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)91.0%
Handicap -1Atletico Goianiense win54.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss22.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-215.8%
0-113.0%
0-312.2%

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense stats

Ponte Preta and Atletico Goianiense recent form

newest first
Ponte Preta LLLLWL
Atletico Goianiense DLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ponte Preta and Atletico Goianiense going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ponte Preta record

  • They have won 3 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 18 of 33 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Atletico Goianiense record

  • They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Ponte Preta wins 2Draws 8Atletico Goianiense wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-28Atletico GoianiensePonte PretaBrazil Serie B2-0
2026-03-18Atletico GoianiensePonte PretaCopa Do Brasil1-0
2023-10-15Ponte PretaAtletico GoianienseSerie B0-2
2023-06-23Atletico GoianiensePonte PretaSerie B1-0
2019-10-14Atletico GoianiensePonte PretaSerie B0-0
2019-07-17Ponte PretaAtletico GoianienseSerie B0-0
2018-09-04Atletico GoianiensePonte PretaSerie B2-0
2018-05-19Ponte PretaAtletico GoianienseSerie B1-3
2017-09-17Ponte PretaAtletico GoianienseSerie A1-3
2017-06-08Atletico GoianiensePonte PretaSerie A3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.1%, draw 19.1%, away 70.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 8.95 4.90 1.31
Bet365 10.00 4.75 1.33
BetVictor 8.50 4.60 1.29
Betano 10.25 4.80 1.39
Betfair 9.50 5.00 1.30
Dafabet 8.60 4.90 1.38
Marathonbet 8.90 4.90 1.30
Pinnacle 10.78 5.35 1.31
SBO 6.76 4.20 1.32
William Hill 9.50 4.80 1.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.22 ▼ -0.78
X 4.85 ▼ -0.25
2 1.31 ▲ +0.05

8 snapshots recorded, from .