Brazil Serie B
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Atletico Goianiense
vs
Sport Recife
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Geovany Soares | ||
| 45′ | JuanDiego·Hernandez | ||
| 45′ | Carlos María de Pena BoninoKervin Andrade | ||
| 45′ | Neto PessoaPedro Henrique Perotti | ||
| 52′ | Willian Oliveira José Gabriel dos Santos Silva | ||
| 65′ | Marcelo Benevenuto | ||
| 71′ | Diego·Hernandez | ||
| 74′ | Bruno JoséMatheuzinho | ||
| 74′ | José Domingos de Moraes NetoHenrique | ||
| 78′ | Patrick de Paula CarreiroArthur Maron Cruz | ||
| 81′ | Leandro Vilela | ||
| 81′ | Leandro VilelaCristiano Claudinei Nogueira | ||
| 81′ | Guilherme LopesYuri | ||
| 83′ | Pedro Henrique Perotti |
Atletico Goianiense
52%
Draw
26%
Sport Recife
21%
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 309 | Accurate passes | 283 |
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife
| Probability | Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.0% | 25.2% | 19.7% |
| Market | 51.3% | 26.8% | 21.9% |
| Final | 52.2% | 26.4% | 21.4% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -0.4% | -0.6% |
Why Atletico Goianiense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.00.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Atletico Goianiense and Sport Recife expected goals
Atletico Goianiense
1.80
Sport Recife
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.80
Atletico Goianiense and Sport Recife attack and defence ratings
Atletico Goianiense
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Sport Recife
Attack
1.30 +30%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife: result vs prediction
Atletico Goianiense 1 – 1 Sport Recife
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Goianiense | 52.2% | 1.92 | +0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Goianiense | 52.2% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Sport Recife | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Goianiense win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 45.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife stats
Atletico Goianiense and Sport Recife recent form
| Atletico Goianiense |
LWWLWW |
| Sport Recife |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Goianiense and Sport Recife going into this match
Atletico Goianiense record
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sport Recife record
- They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Atletico Goianiense wins
6Draws
1Sport Recife wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Sport Recife | Atletico Goianiense | Brazil Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Sport Recife | Atletico Goianiense | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2023-07-15 | Atletico Goianiense | Sport Recife | Serie B | 3-1 |
| 2021-10-31 | Sport Recife | Atletico Goianiense | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2021-07-07 | Atletico Goianiense | Sport Recife | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2020-11-23 | Sport Recife | Atletico Goianiense | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2020-08-17 | Atletico Goianiense | Sport Recife | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2019-11-30 | Atletico Goianiense | Sport Recife | Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-28 | Sport Recife | Atletico Goianiense | Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2017-11-12 | Atletico Goianiense | Sport Recife | Serie A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico Goianiense vs Sport Recife odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.3%, draw 26.8%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.48 | 4.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.60 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 3.55 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.48 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.59 | 4.54 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.18 | 3.64 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.82 ▼ -0.05
X
3.48 ▲ +0.06
2
4.25 ▲ +0.16
8 snapshots recorded, from .