Botafogo SP
vs
Ceara
1 – 0 Full time
| 44′ | Morelli | ||
| 59′ | Matheus SalesMarco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi | ||
| 66′ | Luiz Otávio | ||
| 72′ | Enzo LodovicoRian Santana | ||
| 72′ | Melquisedeque Costa De OliveiraLenny Ivo Lobato Romanelli | ||
| 73′ | Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos SantosJosé Hugo Sousa dos Santos | ||
| 73′ | Gabriel de Souza InocencioPedro Henrique | ||
| 74′ | Hygor | ||
| 78′ | Matheus AraujoRenzo López | ||
| 83′ | Julio CesarRafael Ramos | ||
| 83′ | Vinicius ZanoceloLucas Mugni | ||
| 83′ | HygorArthur Caíke | ||
| 84′ | Rafael GavaHebert Willian Badaro Oliveira | ||
| 90′ | João Gabriel Santos Batista |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 254 | Accurate passes | 249 |
Botafogo SP vs Ceara overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Botafogo SP vs Ceara
| Probability | Botafogo SP | Draw | Ceara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 29.9% | 34.9% |
| Market | 44.9% | 29.2% | 25.9% |
| Final | 42.5% | 29.4% | 28.2% |
| Edge | -2.4% | +0.2% | +2.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Botafogo SP and Ceara expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.45
Botafogo SP and Ceara attack and defence ratings
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Botafogo SP vs Ceara: result vs prediction
Botafogo SP 1 – 0 Ceara
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Botafogo SP vs Ceara markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botafogo SP | 42.5% | 2.36 | -2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Botafogo SP | 42.5% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Ceara | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.3% |
| No | 48.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Botafogo SP win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 64.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.9% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Botafogo SP vs Ceara stats
Botafogo SP and Ceara recent form
| Botafogo SP |
WLWDLL |
| Ceara |
WWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Botafogo SP and Ceara going into this match
Botafogo SP record
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ceara record
- They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 32 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Botafogo SP vs Ceara head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Ceara | Botafogo SP | Brazil Serie B | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-13 | Botafogo SP | Ceara | Serie B | 1-4 |
| 2024-07-26 | Ceara | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 4-1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Botafogo SP | Ceara | Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-08 | Ceara | Botafogo SP | Serie B | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Botafogo SP vs Ceara odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 29.2%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.18 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.30 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.18 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 2.99 | 3.37 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .