Cuiaba
vs
Avai
0 – 1 Full time
| 29′ | David Miguel de Souza Arcanjo | ||
| 40′ | Daniel Penha | ||
| 45′ | Raul Lô GonçalvesLuiz Otavio | ||
| 45′ | David Miguel de Souza ArcanjoVinicius Peixoto | ||
| 54′ | João Vitor | ||
| 61′ | IgorRamon de Araujo Silva Moutinho | ||
| 61′ | Fabio GomesPedro Henrique | ||
| 61′ | WendersonPedro Henrique Franklim da Silva | ||
| 61′ | Luiz HenriquePaulo Vitor | ||
| 66′ | Caio Suassuna Gonçalves FerreiraLéo Gamalho | ||
| 74′ | Jean Dias da CostaRodrigo Antonio Rodrigues | ||
| 74′ | João VitorWallison | ||
| 74′ | Jean Lucas FigueiredoGaspar | ||
| 90′ | Daniel Penha |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 13 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 533 | Accurate passes | 223 |
Cuiaba vs Avai overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cuiaba vs Avai
| Probability | Cuiaba | Draw | Avai |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 26.5% | 13.4% |
| Market | 56.1% | 26.4% | 17.5% |
| Final | 57.1% | 26.4% | 16.5% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +0.0% | -1.0% |
Why Cuiaba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cuiaba and Avai expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Cuiaba and Avai attack and defence ratings
Cuiaba
Avai
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cuiaba vs Avai: result vs prediction
Cuiaba 0 – 1 Avai
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cuiaba vs Avai markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuiaba | 57.1% | 1.75 | +1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cuiaba | 57.1% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Avai | 16.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.2% |
| No | 60.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cuiaba win | 33.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 40.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.7% |
| 2-0 | 13.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.9% |
Cuiaba vs Avai stats
Cuiaba and Avai recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cuiaba and Avai going into this match
Cuiaba record
- They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Avai record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cuiaba vs Avai head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Avai | Cuiaba | Brazil Serie B | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Avai | Cuiaba | Brazil Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Cuiaba | Avai | Brazil Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-27 | Cuiaba | Avai | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-03 | Avai | Cuiaba | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2020-11-28 | Cuiaba | Avai | Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2020-08-22 | Avai | Cuiaba | Serie B | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cuiaba vs Avai odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.1%, draw 26.4%, away 17.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.52 | 5.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 3.65 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.52 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 3.66 | 5.87 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.35 | 5.03 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .