Garuda Lions
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Brazil Serie B · Full time ·Matchday 24

Operario-PR vs Vila Nova

0 – 0 Full time

Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta GrossaReferee: L. Guimaraes

Operario-PR 40%
Draw 30%
Vila Nova 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Operario-PR vs Vila Nova overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Operario-PR vs Vila Nova

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOperario-PRDrawVila Nova
Model27.4%24.7%47.9%
Market43.8%31.1%25.1%
Final39.7%29.5%30.8%
Edge-16.4%-6.4%+22.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Operario-PR ↓ / Vila Nova → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Operario-PR and Vila Nova expected goals

Operario-PR 1.36
Vila Nova 1.85

Total expected goals: 3.21

Operario-PR and Vila Nova attack and defence ratings

Operario-PR

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Vila Nova

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Operario-PR vs Vila Nova: result vs prediction

Operario-PR 0 – 0 Vila Nova

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Brazil Serie B

Before and after this match

Operario-PR vs Vila Nova markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Operario-PR 39.7% 2.52 -16.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.5% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.7% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Operario-PR39.7%
Draw29.5%
Vila Nova30.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.2%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)60.3%
Handicap -1Operario-PR win12.3%
Push (exactly one goal)15.0%
Loss72.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.4%
2-16.9%

Operario-PR vs Vila Nova stats

Operario-PR and Vila Nova recent form

newest first
Operario-PR LLLLWD
Vila Nova WWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Operario-PR and Vila Nova going into this match

league record before kick-off

Operario-PR record

  • They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vila Nova record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Operario-PR vs Vila Nova head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Operario-PR wins 2Draws 1Vila Nova wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Vila NovaOperario-PRBrazil Serie B2-1
2025-11-02Operario-PRVila NovaBrazil Serie B2-2
2025-07-11Vila NovaOperario-PRBrazil Serie B0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Operario-PR vs Vila Nova odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 31.1%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.12 2.92 3.90
1xBet 2.14 2.88 3.87
888Sport 2.05 3.10 3.60
Bet365 2.10 3.10 3.70
BetVictor 2.05 3.13 3.30
Betano 2.15 2.95 3.90
Betfair 2.15 3.00 3.50
Dafabet 2.14 3.15 3.75
Marathonbet 2.12 2.88 3.85
Pinnacle 2.18 2.97 4.09
SBO 2.15 2.95 3.06
Superbet 2.10 3.05 3.60
Unibet 2.07 3.00 3.85
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.13 ▲ +0.05
X 3.00 —
2 3.73 ▼ -0.15

4 snapshots recorded, from .