Criciuma
vs
Fortaleza EC
0 – 2 Full time
Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC
| Probability | Criciuma | Draw | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 34.7% | 16.0% |
| Market | 47.8% | 30.1% | 22.1% |
| Final | 48.2% | 31.3% | 20.6% |
| Edge | +1.6% | +4.5% | -6.1% |
Why Criciuma
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Criciuma and Fortaleza EC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.65
Criciuma and Fortaleza EC attack and defence ratings
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC: result vs prediction
Criciuma 0 – 2 Fortaleza EC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Ceara v Londrina — match page
- Cuiaba vs Goias — team news & stats
- Ponte Preta vs Avai
- São Bernardo v Nautico Recife — match page
- Operario-PR vs Vila Nova — team news & stats
- Sport Recife v America Mineiro — match page
- Athletic Club vs Novorizontino — team news & stats
- Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP
Before and after this match
Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Criciuma | 48.2% | 2.08 | +1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Criciuma | 48.2% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Fortaleza EC | 20.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.6% |
| No | 71.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Criciuma win | 21.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.5% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.5% |
| 0-0 | 20.4% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC stats
Criciuma and Fortaleza EC recent form
| Criciuma |
DWLDWW |
| Fortaleza EC |
DDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Criciuma and Fortaleza EC going into this match
Criciuma record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Fortaleza EC record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Fortaleza EC | Criciuma | Brazil Serie B | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 30.2%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.88 | 3.15 | 4.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.00 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 3.22 | 4.54 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.87 | 3.71 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.25 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .