CAF Champions League
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
Wiliete
vs
Mamelodi Sundowns
0 – 0 Full time
Wiliete
31%
Draw
26%
Mamelodi Sundowns
43%
Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns
| Probability | Wiliete | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.2% | 25.7% | 43.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.2% | 25.7% | 43.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mamelodi Sundowns
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
Wiliete and Mamelodi Sundowns expected goals
Wiliete
1.42
Mamelodi Sundowns
1.69
Total expected goals: 3.11
Wiliete and Mamelodi Sundowns attack and defence ratings
Wiliete
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Attack
2.14 +114%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns: result vs prediction
Wiliete 0 – 0 Mamelodi Sundowns
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wiliete | 31.2% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 43.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.0% |
| No | 37.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Wiliete vs Mamelodi Sundowns stats
Wiliete and Mamelodi Sundowns recent form
| Wiliete |
WWLL |
| Mamelodi Sundowns |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.