CAF Champions League
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
Mamelodi Sundowns
vs
Wiliete
1 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | T. Matthews | ||
| 49′ | Mabululu |
Mamelodi Sundowns
70%
Draw
20%
Wiliete
10%
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete
| Probability | Mamelodi Sundowns | Draw | Wiliete |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.8% | 20.1% | 10.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 69.8% | 20.1% | 10.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mamelodi Sundowns
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Mamelodi Sundowns and Wiliete expected goals
Mamelodi Sundowns
2.16
Wiliete
0.70
Total expected goals: 2.86
Mamelodi Sundowns and Wiliete attack and defence ratings
Mamelodi Sundowns
Attack
1.88 +88%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Wiliete
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete: result vs prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns 1 – 1 Wiliete
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 69.8% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Wiliete | 10.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 46.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 29.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-1 | 9.6% |
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete stats
Mamelodi Sundowns and Wiliete recent form
| Mamelodi Sundowns |
DWDWWW |
| Wiliete |
DWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Mamelodi Sundowns wins
1Draws
0Wiliete wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Wiliete | Mamelodi Sundowns | CAF Champions League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.