Walsall
vs
Crawley Town
Garuda Lions Prediction: Walsall
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Walsall vs Crawley Town overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Walsall vs Crawley Town
| Probability | Walsall | Draw | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.1% | 27.7% | 15.2% |
| Market | 57.6% | 22.8% | 19.6% |
| Final | 57.5% | 24.0% | 18.5% |
| Edge | -0.5% | +4.9% | -4.4% |
Why Walsall
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.73, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Walsall vs Crawley Town match preview
Walsall hosts Crawley Town in a League Two matchup with Walsall holding a 57% probability of victory compared to Crawley Town's 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Walsall, with a 15% chance of occurring. Walsall's expected goals stand at 1.56, while Crawley Town's is significantly lower at 0.68.
In terms of recent form, Walsall has drawn their last four matches, with one win prior, while Crawley Town has struggled, losing three of their last four games and managing only one win. The two teams have faced each other twice recently, resulting in two draws, indicating a competitive dynamic. The probabilities suggest a cautious outlook, reflected in the confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Walsall and Crawley Town expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Walsall and Crawley Town attack and defence ratings
Walsall
Crawley Town
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Walsall vs Crawley Town markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 57.5% | 1.74 | -0.5% | 1.73 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Walsall | 57.5% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Crawley Town | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Walsall win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.5% |
| 2-0 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
Walsall vs Crawley Town stats
Walsall and Crawley Town recent form
| Walsall |
DWDDDW |
| Crawley Town |
LLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Walsall and Crawley Town season so far
Walsall record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Crawley Town record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Walsall vs Crawley Town head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Walsall | Crawley Town | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Crawley Town | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-13 | Crawley Town | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-24 | Walsall | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-29 | Crawley Town | Walsall | League Two | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-19 | Walsall | Crawley Town | League Two | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-18 | Crawley Town | Walsall | League Two | 1-0 |
| 2021-12-07 | Walsall | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2021-03-16 | Crawley Town | Walsall | League Two | 1-1 |
| 2020-11-03 | Walsall | Crawley Town | League Two | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Walsall vs Crawley Town odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.6%, draw 22.6%, away 22.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 4.05 | 4.14 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.15 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.33 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.05 | 4.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73 | 4.19 | 3.99 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .