Deportivo La Coruna
vs
Osasuna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo La Coruna
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.36.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Deportivo La Coruna is the favourite, not a value bet.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna
| Probability | Deportivo La Coruna | Draw | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.3% | 25.5% | 24.2% |
| Market | 44.3% | 28.8% | 26.9% |
| Final | 45.8% | 28.0% | 26.2% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.8% | -0.7% |
Why Deportivo La Coruna
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.36.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.1% per unit staked (our 45.8% × 2.05 − 1).
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna match preview
Deportivo La Coruna faces Osasuna in a La Liga clash on November 2, 2026. According to our model, Deportivo La Coruna has a 47% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw stands at 28% and Osasuna at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Deportivo La Coruna, with an expected goals tally of 1.94 for Deportivo and 1.13 for Osasuna.
Both teams are struggling for form, with Deportivo La Coruna recording a recent sequence of L-D-L-D-L-D, and Osasuna showing L-W-L-D-L-L. Our model indicates a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, each at 61%. The confidence grade for this match is A, suggesting a high degree of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna attack and defence ratings
Deportivo La Coruna
Osasuna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 45.8% | 2.18 | +1.5% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo La Coruna | 45.8% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Osasuna | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% |
| No | 34.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo La Coruna win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.0% |
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna stats
Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna recent form
| Deportivo La Coruna |
WLDLDL |
| Osasuna |
WLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo La Coruna and Osasuna season so far
Deportivo La Coruna record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Osasuna record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 28.8%, away 26.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| betclic_fr | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
21 snapshots recorded, from .