Getafe
vs
Sevilla
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sevilla
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sevilla is the favourite, not a value bet.
Getafe vs Sevilla overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Getafe vs Sevilla
| Probability | Getafe | Draw | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 29.6% | 34.8% |
| Market | 32.0% | 31.1% | 36.9% |
| Final | 32.9% | 30.7% | 36.4% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
Why Sevilla
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.76, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.5% per unit staked (our 36.4% × 2.76 − 1).
Getafe vs Sevilla match preview
Getafe faces Sevilla in La Liga with a close matchup anticipated, as the probabilities indicate Getafe at 33%, a draw at 31%, and Sevilla at 36%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at an 8% likelihood. Both teams show a tendency to score, with our model estimating a 60% chance for both teams to find the net and a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
In terms of recent form, Getafe has struggled, recording two losses followed by a draw and a win, while Sevilla has shown more resilience with two wins, a draw, and a loss in their last six matches. The expected goals are closely matched, with Getafe at 1.37 and Sevilla at 1.42, reflecting a competitive encounter ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Getafe and Sevilla expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Getafe and Sevilla attack and defence ratings
Getafe
Sevilla
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Levante v Atletico Madrid — match page
- Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo
- Real Betis vs Malaga — team news & stats
- Barcelona vs Alaves — team news & stats
- Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna
- Elche v Valencia — match page
- Racing Santander vs Real Madrid — team news & stats
- Athletic Club v Real Sociedad — match page
Before and after this match
Getafe vs Sevilla markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sevilla | 36.4% | 2.75 | -0.5% | 2.76 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Getafe | 32.9% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Sevilla | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sevilla win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Getafe vs Sevilla stats
Getafe and Sevilla recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Getafe and Sevilla season so far
Getafe record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
Sevilla record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Getafe vs Sevilla head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Getafe | Sevilla | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Sevilla | Getafe | La Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | Getafe | Sevilla | La Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Sevilla | Getafe | La Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Getafe | Sevilla | La Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-16 | Sevilla | Getafe | La Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Getafe vs Sevilla odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 31.1%, away 36.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.02 | 3.10 | 2.76 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 2.88 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.05 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.94 | 3.02 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09 | 3.04 | 2.59 |
| SBO | 2.84 | 2.81 | 2.36 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .