Hortaleza
vs
Sevilla
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sevilla
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Hortaleza vs Sevilla overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hortaleza vs Sevilla
| Probability | Hortaleza | Draw | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.3% | 26.8% | 42.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.3% | 26.8% | 42.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sevilla
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla match preview
Hortaleza faces Sevilla in the Copa del Rey with a kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a 30% chance for Hortaleza to win, a 27% chance for a draw, and a 43% chance for Sevilla to secure victory. The expected goals for Hortaleza stand at 1.31, while Sevilla is projected to score 1.59. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Sevilla, with a 9% probability.
Both teams show potential for a high-scoring match, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score. Recent form shows Hortaleza with a draw and a win in their last two matches, while Sevilla has recorded two draws, a loss, and two wins in their last five outings.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hortaleza and Sevilla expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Hortaleza and Sevilla attack and defence ratings
Hortaleza
Sevilla
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
- Conquense v Castellón — match page
- Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon — team news & stats
- Laredo vs Burgos
- Real Ávila v Unionistas de Salamanca — match page
- Antequera vs Águilas — team news & stats
- Prat v Athletic Club — match page
- Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna — team news & stats
- Ribadesella CF v Racing Santander — match page
Before and after this match
Hortaleza vs Sevilla markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sevilla | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hortaleza | 30.3% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Sevilla | 42.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sevilla win | 22.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 7.6% |
Hortaleza vs Sevilla stats
Hortaleza and Sevilla recent form
| Hortaleza | DW |
| Sevilla |
DLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.