Lebrijana
vs
Getafe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Lebrijana
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Lebrijana vs Getafe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lebrijana vs Getafe
| Probability | Lebrijana | Draw | Getafe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.4% | 27.3% | 24.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.4% | 27.3% | 24.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Lebrijana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 2 vs 1 for the opposition.
Lebrijana vs Getafe match preview
In the upcoming Copa del Rey match, Lebrijana faces Getafe with a probability of 48% for a Lebrijana win, 27% for a draw, and 24% for a Getafe victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Lebrijana, with an expected goals tally of 1.60 for Lebrijana and 1.07 for Getafe.
Lebrijana comes into this match with a recent form of two consecutive wins, while Getafe has recorded two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score with a probability of 54%. The confidence grade for this match is B.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lebrijana and Getafe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Lebrijana and Getafe attack and defence ratings
Lebrijana
Getafe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lebrijana vs Getafe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lebrijana | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lebrijana | 48.4% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Getafe | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lebrijana win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Lebrijana vs Getafe stats
Lebrijana and Getafe recent form
| Lebrijana | WW |
| Getafe |
DLWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.