Malta Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Birzebbuga
vs
Sliema Wanderers
1 – 2 Full time
| 25′ | Gustavo Alcino | ||
| 27′ | H. Bonello | ||
| 34′ | N. Robertha | ||
| 44′ | Z. Cassar | ||
| 45′ | S. Pisani | ||
| 57′ | Alex Bruno | ||
| 58′ | N. RoberthaN. Karelis | ||
| 58′ | L. MontebelloI. Cojocaru | ||
| 61′ | Birzebbuga | ||
| 61′ | I. Cojocaru | ||
| 64′ | G. Costa GoncalvesS. Tokic | ||
| 64′ | L. RiascosR. Thellufsen | ||
| 66′ | T. TeumaM. Lorenzi | ||
| 71′ | J. A. Bolanos Ramirez | ||
| 78′ | R. PolleyA. Overend | ||
| 78′ | A. SatarianoB. Gambarte | ||
| 81′ | S. DimechP. Tomaselli | ||
| 89′ | Z. CassarM. Xuereb | ||
| 89′ | YuriS. Azimzadeh Tabrizi | ||
| 90′ | P. Tomaselli |
Birzebbuga
34%
Draw
34%
Sliema Wanderers
32%
Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers
| Probability | Birzebbuga | Draw | Sliema Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 33.7% | 32.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.1% | 33.7% | 32.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
60%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Birzebbuga and Sliema Wanderers expected goals
Birzebbuga
1.01
Sliema Wanderers
0.97
Total expected goals: 1.98
Birzebbuga and Sliema Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Birzebbuga
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Sliema Wanderers
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
1.01 +1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers: result vs prediction
Birzebbuga 1 – 2 Sliema Wanderers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birzebbuga | 34.1% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birzebbuga | 34.1% |
| Draw | 33.7% | |
| Sliema Wanderers | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.9% |
| No | 59.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Birzebbuga win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-0 | 12.5% |
Birzebbuga vs Sliema Wanderers stats
Birzebbuga and Sliema Wanderers recent form
| Birzebbuga |
LL |
| Sliema Wanderers |
LLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.