Balzan FC
vs
Birzebbuga
3 – 0 Full time
| 13′ | V. Kuach Yuel | ||
| 18′ | J. Walker | ||
| 22′ | Gabriel Santos | ||
| 30′ | A. Dimeji | ||
| 35′ | V. Kuach Yuel | ||
| 45′ | S. Guehi | ||
| 45′ | P. Tomaselli | ||
| 46′ | J. WalkerZ. Cassar | ||
| 46′ | P. TomaselliG. Costa Goncalves | ||
| 49′ | Z. Cassar | ||
| 67′ | Macula | ||
| 70′ | S. DimechM. Xuereb | ||
| 70′ | K. BondinR. Thellufsen | ||
| 74′ | V. Kuach YuelM. Yahaya | ||
| 81′ | MaculaJ. Portelli | ||
| 81′ | Alex BrunoE. Grioli | ||
| 83′ | J. A. Bolanos Ramirez | ||
| 85′ | EdersonS. Cipriott | ||
| 85′ | S. GuehiJ. Grech | ||
| 87′ | J. Portelli |
Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga
| Probability | Balzan FC | Draw | Birzebbuga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 25.5% | 16.6% |
| Market | 36.3% | 27.9% | 35.8% |
| Final | 41.7% | 27.3% | 31.0% |
| Edge | +21.7% | -2.4% | -19.3% |
Why Balzan FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Balzan FC below the model: +21.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Balzan FC and Birzebbuga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Balzan FC and Birzebbuga attack and defence ratings
Balzan FC
Birzebbuga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga: result vs prediction
Balzan FC 3 – 0 Birzebbuga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balzan FC | 41.7% | 2.40 | +21.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balzan FC | 41.7% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Birzebbuga | 31.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Balzan FC win | 33.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 42.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.0% | |
| 2-0 | 11.5% |
Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga stats
Balzan FC and Birzebbuga recent form
| Balzan FC |
WLD |
| Birzebbuga |
LLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Birzebbuga | Balzan FC | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Balzan FC | Birzebbuga | Challenge League | 3-3 |
| 2026-02-01 | Balzan FC | Birzebbuga | Challenge League | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Balzan FC | Birzebbuga | FA Trophy | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.3%, draw 27.9%, away 35.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.24 | 2.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 3.24 | 2.51 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.13 | 2.57 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.50 |