Floriana
vs
Gzira United
4 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | Luisinho | ||
| 36′ | A. Kurtalic | ||
| 38′ | Kauan | ||
| 46′ | Y. JbiraM. Beerman | ||
| 46′ | KauanA. Drina | ||
| 46′ | A. KurtalicD. Vella | ||
| 46′ | K. DervisagicA. C. N Dri | ||
| 48′ | T. Gudelj | ||
| 60′ | Maxuell Samurai | ||
| 64′ | R. MuricS. Odey | ||
| 64′ | B. BorgJ. Farias | ||
| 68′ | A. C. N Dri | ||
| 70′ | D. FarrugiaJoao Teixeira | ||
| 70′ | LuisinhoD. Djadjo | ||
| 76′ | T. Gudelj | ||
| 82′ | C. Zammit Lonardelli | ||
| 86′ | Maxuell SamuraiA. De Flavia | ||
| 90′ | D. Abela |
Floriana vs Gzira United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Floriana vs Gzira United
| Probability | Floriana | Draw | Gzira United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.7% | 19.7% | 8.6% |
| Market | 51.7% | 26.2% | 22.1% |
| Final | 56.7% | 24.6% | 18.7% |
| Edge | +20.0% | -6.5% | -13.4% |
Why Floriana
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Floriana below the model: +20.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Floriana and Gzira United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Floriana and Gzira United attack and defence ratings
Floriana
Gzira United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Floriana vs Gzira United: result vs prediction
Floriana 4 – 1 Gzira United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Floriana vs Gzira United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Floriana | 56.7% | 1.76 | +20.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Floriana win | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Floriana | 56.7% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Gzira United | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Floriana win | 47.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 28.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.7% | |
| 3-0 | 10.3% |
Floriana vs Gzira United stats
Floriana and Gzira United recent form
| Floriana |
DWWLDL |
| Gzira United |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Floriana vs Gzira United head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Gzira United | Floriana | Malta Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Gzira United | Floriana | Malta Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Floriana | Gzira United | Malta Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gzira United | Floriana | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-09-27 | Floriana | Gzira United | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-07 | Floriana | Gzira United | FA Trophy | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-03 | Gzira United | Floriana | Premier League | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-21 | Floriana | Gzira United | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-18 | Floriana | Gzira United | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-16 | Gzira United | Floriana | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Floriana vs Gzira United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 26.2%, away 22.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.45 | 3.70 |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 3.72 | 5.58 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.17 | 3.47 |
| Superbet | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.85 |
| Unibet | 1.63 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .