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Malta Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United

0 – 0 Full time

39′B. Borg
46′LuisinhoMaxuell Samurai
46′B. BorgSaldanha
59′S. Jovancic
63′T. MoriceauJ. Pisani
63′T. MelilloP. F. Gouhon
68′M. AngeAndre
73′Joao MafraVinicius Kanu
77′Gzira United
90′K. Brucic
90′Z. LeonardiS. Magri
90′N. LancioniK. Fenech
90′Gzira United

Centenary StadiumReferee: G. Tonna

Zabbar St. Patrick 44%
Draw 25%
Gzira United 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZabbar St. PatrickDrawGzira United
Model73.1%17.4%9.5%
Market34.5%27.8%37.7%
Final44.1%25.2%30.7%
Edge+38.6%-10.4%-28.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Zabbar St. Patrick

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Zabbar St. Patrick below the model: +38.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zabbar St. Pat ↓ / Gzira United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 2 11% 9% 3 9% 8% 4+ 11% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 4%

Zabbar St. Patrick and Gzira United expected goals

Zabbar St. Patrick 2.49
Gzira United 0.82

Total expected goals: 3.32

Zabbar St. Patrick and Gzira United attack and defence ratings

Zabbar St. Patrick

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Gzira United

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United: result vs prediction

Zabbar St. Patrick 0 – 0 Gzira United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Malta Premier League

Before and after this match

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zabbar St. Patrick 44.1% 2.27 +38.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.4% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.2% 1.92 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Zabbar St. Patrick win 51.7% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zabbar St. Patrick44.1%
Draw25.2%
Gzira United30.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.4%
Under 2.535.6%
Both teams to scoreYes52.2%
No47.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.3%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)55.9%
Handicap -1Zabbar St. Patrick win51.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss26.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.3%
3-09.4%
2-19.3%

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United stats

Zabbar St. Patrick and Gzira United recent form

newest first
Zabbar St. Patrick LDWLWL
Gzira United LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Zabbar St. Patrick wins 1Draws 4Gzira United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28Gzira UnitedZabbar St. PatrickMalta Premier League1-1
2026-01-11Gzira UnitedZabbar St. PatrickMalta Premier League0-2
2025-09-28Zabbar St. PatrickGzira UnitedMalta Premier League2-0
2025-04-11Zabbar St. PatrickGzira UnitedPremier League1-2
2025-03-13Zabbar St. PatrickGzira UnitedPremier League3-0
2024-11-24Gzira UnitedZabbar St. PatrickPremier League2-1
2024-11-02Gzira UnitedZabbar St. PatrickPremier League3-1
2022-02-16Gzira UnitedZabbar St. PatrickFA Trophy4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 27.8%, away 37.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.62 3.20 2.39
Bet365 2.50 3.40 2.40
BetVictor 2.63 3.25 2.45
Betano 2.85 3.25 2.32
Betfair 2.60 3.30 2.38
Marathonbet 2.62 3.20 2.39
Pinnacle 2.62 3.26 2.40
William Hill 2.62 3.00 2.45

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.