Birkirkara
vs
Zabbar St. Patrick
0 – 2 Full time
| 41′ | S. Jovancic | ||
| 43′ | F. Sasere | ||
| 46′ | Joao MafraN. Lancioni | ||
| 46′ | M. FontanellaT. Melillo | ||
| 46′ | FernandinhoA. Djordjevic | ||
| 75′ | Jefferson Vinicius | ||
| 79′ | Jefferson ViniciusKadu | ||
| 79′ | AmarildoL. Pahama | ||
| 79′ | Z. LeonardiT. Moriceau | ||
| 83′ | Frazan | ||
| 90′ | T. Moriceau | ||
| 90′ | P. F. GouhonA. Agyeman | ||
| 90′ | Pablo Gabriel | ||
| 90′ | S. MagriK. Fenech |
Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick
| Probability | Birkirkara | Draw | Zabbar St. Patrick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 32.3% | 29.5% |
| Market | 20.1% | 26.0% | 53.9% |
| Final | 24.6% | 27.6% | 47.8% |
| Edge | +18.1% | +6.4% | -24.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Birkirkara and Zabbar St. Patrick expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.12
Birkirkara and Zabbar St. Patrick attack and defence ratings
Birkirkara
Zabbar St. Patrick
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick: result vs prediction
Birkirkara 0 – 2 Zabbar St. Patrick
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 47.8% | 2.09 | -24.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birkirkara | 24.6% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Zabbar St. Patrick | 47.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Zabbar St. Patrick win | 11.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 70.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.3% | |
| 1-0 | 12.4% |
Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick stats
Birkirkara and Zabbar St. Patrick recent form
| Birkirkara |
DLLWWD |
| Zabbar St. Patrick |
DLDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Birkirkara and Zabbar St. Patrick going into this match
Birkirkara record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Zabbar St. Patrick record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Birkirkara | Zabbar St. Patrick | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Birkirkara | Zabbar St. Patrick | Malta Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Birkirkara | Zabbar St. Patrick | FA Trophy | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Birkirkara | Zabbar St. Patrick | Malta Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-10-03 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Birkirkara | Malta Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Zabbar St. Patrick | Birkirkara | Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-23 | Birkirkara | Zabbar St. Patrick | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.1%, draw 26.0%, away 53.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.37 | 3.34 | 1.72 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.67 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.57 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 3.44 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | 4.47 | 3.52 | 1.67 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 3.10 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .