Marsaxlokk
vs
Hamrun Spartans
4 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | O. Bjelicic | ||
| 32′ | O. Bjelicic | ||
| 35′ | Dodo | ||
| 43′ | M. Trotta | ||
| 45′ | O. El Hasni | ||
| 55′ | D. CeterL. Villela | ||
| 56′ | Rafael Compri | ||
| 63′ | L. Villela | ||
| 65′ | M. GarciaD. Simkus | ||
| 67′ | U. Arias | ||
| 68′ | R. Camenzuli | ||
| 73′ | DodoR. Mihana | ||
| 73′ | U. AriasS. Smajlagic | ||
| 81′ | M. Trotta | ||
| 82′ | A. CoricM. Caua de Aguiar Alves | ||
| 84′ | J. C. CorbalanL. Caruana | ||
| 84′ | N. MuscatE. Attard | ||
| 88′ | O. BjelicicK. Scicluna | ||
| 88′ | M. TrottaS. Attard | ||
| 88′ | R. CamenzuliS. Xerri |
Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans
| Probability | Marsaxlokk | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 27.2% | 30.4% |
| Market | 50.4% | 25.8% | 23.9% |
| Final | 48.4% | 26.1% | 25.5% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +1.4% | +6.5% |
Why Marsaxlokk
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Marsaxlokk and Hamrun Spartans expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Marsaxlokk and Hamrun Spartans attack and defence ratings
Marsaxlokk
Hamrun Spartans
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans: result vs prediction
Marsaxlokk 4 – 1 Hamrun Spartans
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marsaxlokk | 48.4% | 2.07 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marsaxlokk | 48.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Hamrun Spartans | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Marsaxlokk win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans stats
Marsaxlokk and Hamrun Spartans recent form
| Marsaxlokk |
LDWWDL |
| Hamrun Spartans |
LWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marsaxlokk and Hamrun Spartans going into this match
Marsaxlokk record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Hamrun Spartans record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Marsaxlokk | Hamrun Spartans | Malta Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Marsaxlokk | Hamrun Spartans | Malta Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2026-02-23 | Hamrun Spartans | Marsaxlokk | Malta Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Hamrun Spartans | Marsaxlokk | Malta Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2025-09-23 | Marsaxlokk | Hamrun Spartans | Malta Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-30 | Marsaxlokk | Hamrun Spartans | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-05 | Marsaxlokk | Hamrun Spartans | Premier League | 1-6 |
| 2024-11-02 | Hamrun Spartans | Marsaxlokk | Premier League | 2-3 |
| 2024-08-06 | Marsaxlokk | Hamrun Spartans | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Hamrun Spartans | Marsaxlokk | Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.4%, draw 25.8%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.52 | 3.95 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.52 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 3.45 | 3.39 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .