Birzebbuga
vs
Valletta FC
0 – 3 Full time
| 4′ | B. Gomes | ||
| 46′ | S. Azimzadeh TabriziG. Cooper | ||
| 57′ | R. PrsaP. Sekulovic | ||
| 63′ | B. Gomes | ||
| 65′ | B. Gomes | ||
| 70′ | L. Riascos | ||
| 72′ | ThaylorA. Zammit | ||
| 73′ | B. GomesAlex Tanque | ||
| 73′ | M. EllulM. Morello | ||
| 79′ | L. RiascosK. Bondin | ||
| 79′ | S. DimechZ. Cassar | ||
| 88′ | J. AzzopardiK. Ewurum |
Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC
| Probability | Birzebbuga | Draw | Valletta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.7% | 27.7% | 42.5% |
| Market | 12.4% | 22.5% | 65.1% |
| Final | 16.7% | 23.8% | 59.5% |
| Edge | +17.3% | +5.2% | -22.6% |
Why Valletta FC
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Birzebbuga and Valletta FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Birzebbuga and Valletta FC attack and defence ratings
Birzebbuga
Valletta FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC: result vs prediction
Birzebbuga 0 – 3 Valletta FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Valletta FC | 59.5% | 1.68 | -22.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birzebbuga | 16.7% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Valletta FC | 59.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.2% |
| No | 43.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Valletta FC win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC stats
Birzebbuga and Valletta FC recent form
| Birzebbuga |
WLLLL |
| Valletta FC |
DWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Birzebbuga and Valletta FC going into this match
Birzebbuga record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Valletta FC record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.4%, draw 22.5%, away 65.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.60 | 4.05 | 1.37 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 4.00 | 1.42 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 4.00 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 6.40 | 4.05 | 1.45 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 7.20 | 4.05 | 1.36 |
| Pinnacle | 6.49 | 4.11 | 1.41 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 3.80 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .