Malta Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Floriana vs Hibernians

0 – 4 Full time

19′MatosJ. Degabriele
35′F. Varela
45′P. Mbong
49′M. Romling
60′M. EllulJ. Wahling
60′J. RoeD. Xuereb
65′T. GudeljK. Dervisagic
69′S. Odey
72′M. RomlingD. Bonnici
72′Khevin FragaF. Jankovic
84′P. MbongA. Kurtalic
84′C. Zammit LonardelliR. Muric
84′D. VellaN. Shchepetkin
90′F. VarelaKauan
90′R. Muric

Referee: J. Scerri

Floriana 33%
Draw 24%
Hibernians 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Floriana vs Hibernians overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Floriana vs Hibernians

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFlorianaDrawHibernians
Model69.2%19.8%11.0%
Market21.6%25.2%53.3%
Final33.5%23.8%42.7%
Edge+47.6%-5.3%-42.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Floriana ↓ / Hibernians → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 9% 2 12% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 8% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Floriana and Hibernians expected goals

Floriana 2.23
Hibernians 0.79

Total expected goals: 3.03

Floriana and Hibernians attack and defence ratings

Floriana

Attack 1.58 +58%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Hibernians

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Floriana vs Hibernians: result vs prediction

Floriana 0 – 4 Hibernians

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Malta Premier League

Before and after this match

Floriana vs Hibernians markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hibernians 42.7% 2.34 -42.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.3% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 89.0% 1.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Floriana33.5%
Draw23.8%
Hibernians42.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.3%
Under 2.541.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.3%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)66.5%
Handicap -1Hibernians win3.4%
Push (exactly one goal)7.6%
Loss89.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.1%
1-010.0%
2-19.6%

Floriana vs Hibernians stats

Floriana and Hibernians recent form

newest first
Floriana WWDWWL
Hibernians DLDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Floriana and Hibernians going into this match

league record before kick-off

Floriana record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).

Hibernians record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Floriana vs Hibernians head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Floriana wins 2Draws 2Hibernians wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22FlorianaHiberniansMalta Premier League4-1
2025-10-03HiberniansFlorianaMalta Premier League0-1
2025-03-29FlorianaHiberniansPremier League1-1
2024-11-30FlorianaHiberniansPremier League2-0
2024-09-22FlorianaHiberniansPremier League1-1
2024-02-10HiberniansFlorianaPremier League0-2
2023-09-26FlorianaHiberniansPremier League2-0
2023-08-04HiberniansFlorianaFriendlies Clubs0-2
2023-04-21FlorianaHiberniansPremier League2-5
2022-12-12HiberniansFlorianaPremier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Floriana vs Hibernians odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.6%, draw 25.2%, away 53.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.31 3.50 1.69
Bet365 3.90 3.75 1.70
BetVictor 4.20 3.60 1.73
Betano 3.95 3.65 1.78
Betfair 4.20 3.60 1.70
Marathonbet 4.20 3.50 1.67
Pinnacle 4.02 3.48 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.20 ▲ +0.24
X 3.60 ▼ -0.05
2 1.70 —

5 snapshots recorded, from .