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Malta Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC

0 – 0 Full time

9′Sliema Wanderers
33′R. Polley
53′S. Arab
54′T. Teuma
60′M. LorenziS. Pisani
60′N. KarelisA. Limbombe
77′T. TeumaB. Gambarte
85′A. Limbombe
85′V. Kuach YuelM. Yahaya
89′W. M. AlliM. Awad
90′EdersonJ. Portelli

Referee: M. De Gabriele

Sliema Wanderers 27%
Draw 29%
Balzan FC 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySliema WanderersDrawBalzan FC
Model28.0%27.0%44.9%
Market26.5%30.0%43.6%
Final26.9%29.2%43.9%
Edge+1.6%-3.0%+1.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Balzan FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.21.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sliema Wandere ↓ / Balzan FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Sliema Wanderers and Balzan FC expected goals

Sliema Wanderers 1.21
Balzan FC 1.61

Total expected goals: 2.82

Sliema Wanderers and Balzan FC attack and defence ratings

Sliema Wanderers

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Balzan FC

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC: result vs prediction

Sliema Wanderers 0 – 0 Balzan FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Malta Premier League

Before and after this match

Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Balzan FC 43.9% 2.28 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.5% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.4% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sliema Wanderers26.9%
Draw29.2%
Balzan FC43.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.5%
Under 2.546.5%
Both teams to scoreYes57.4%
No42.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.1%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)73.1%
Handicap -1Balzan FC win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
1-29.3%
0-18.4%

Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC stats

Sliema Wanderers and Balzan FC recent form

newest first
Sliema Wanderers LWWLLL
Balzan FC DWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sliema Wanderers and Balzan FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sliema Wanderers record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Balzan FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Sliema Wanderers wins 1Draws 3Balzan FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-03-08Balzan FCSliema WanderersPremier League2-3
2024-08-25Sliema WanderersBalzan FCPremier League2-0
2024-04-14Balzan FCSliema WanderersPremier League1-1
2024-02-07Sliema WanderersBalzan FCFA Trophy1-0
2023-12-09Sliema WanderersBalzan FCPremier League1-0
2022-05-06Sliema WanderersBalzan FCPremier League0-1
2022-01-26Sliema WanderersBalzan FCPremier League1-0
2021-08-12Balzan FCSliema WanderersPremier League1-0
2021-02-28Balzan FCSliema WanderersPremier League5-1
2020-11-01Sliema WanderersBalzan FCPremier League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 30.0%, away 43.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.44 2.98 2.07
Bet365 3.30 3.40 1.91
BetVictor 3.40 3.20 2.05
Betano 3.35 3.25 2.05
Marathonbet 3.34 2.98 2.05
Pinnacle 3.45 2.95 2.10
SBO 3.08 2.93 1.94
William Hill 3.40 2.90 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.38 ▲ +0.21
X 2.98 ▼ -0.39
2 2.05 ▲ +0.04

6 snapshots recorded, from .