Gzira United
vs
Sliema Wanderers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gzira United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers
| Probability | Gzira United | Draw | Sliema Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 31.8% | 44.5% |
| Market | 53.7% | 24.9% | 21.4% |
| Final | 46.2% | 26.6% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -30.1% | +6.9% | +23.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers match preview
Gzira United faces Sliema Wanderers in the Malta Premier League, with Gzira's chances of winning estimated at 47%, while Sliema has a 26% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Gzira, with a 9% likelihood. Gzira United's recent form shows a series of six matches without a win, while Sliema Wanderers have recorded two wins in their last six games.
In terms of expected goals, Gzira United is projected to score 0.84, whereas Sliema Wanderers are expected to net 1.25 goals. The probability of over 2.5 goals is set at 35%, and the likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 42%. Historically, Sliema Wanderers have dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two matches against Gzira United.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gzira United and Sliema Wanderers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
Gzira United and Sliema Wanderers attack and defence ratings
Gzira United
Sliema Wanderers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gzira United | 46.2% | 2.16 | -30.1% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gzira United | 46.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Sliema Wanderers | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.8% |
| No | 58.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gzira United win | 8.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 76.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 14.2% | |
| 0-0 | 13.7% |
Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers stats
Gzira United and Sliema Wanderers recent form
| Gzira United |
DLLLLL |
| Sliema Wanderers |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gzira United and Sliema Wanderers season so far
Gzira United record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Sliema Wanderers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Sliema Wanderers | Gzira United | Malta Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Sliema Wanderers | Gzira United | Malta Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gzira United vs Sliema Wanderers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.7%, draw 24.9%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.55 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .