Balzan FC
vs
Floriana
Garuda Lions Prediction: Balzan FC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Balzan FC vs Floriana overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Balzan FC vs Floriana
| Probability | Balzan FC | Draw | Floriana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 25.3% | 29.5% |
| Market | 52.1% | 26.1% | 21.8% |
| Final | 50.4% | 25.9% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -6.8% | -0.8% | +7.7% |
Why Balzan FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 1.40.
Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Balzan FC vs Floriana match preview
Balzan FC is set to face Floriana in the Malta Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. According to model probabilities, Balzan FC has a 45% chance of winning, while Floriana stands at 29%, and the likelihood of a draw is 25%. The expected goals for Balzan FC is 1.77, compared to Floriana's 1.40, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Balzan FC, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Balzan FC has recorded two draws, a win, a loss, and another draw in their last six matches. Meanwhile, Floriana has shown stronger form with four wins, a draw, and a loss in the same timeframe. The probabilities indicate a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Balzan FC and Floriana expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Balzan FC and Floriana attack and defence ratings
Balzan FC
Floriana
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Balzan FC vs Floriana markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balzan FC | 50.4% | 1.98 | -6.8% | 1.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Balzan FC | 50.4% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Floriana | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Balzan FC win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Balzan FC vs Floriana stats
Balzan FC and Floriana recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Balzan FC and Floriana season so far
Balzan FC record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Floriana record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
Balzan FC vs Floriana head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Balzan FC vs Floriana odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 26.1%, away 21.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.45 | 4.16 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.15 |
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.45 | 4.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .